Key observations Part 1 | Estimated relocation flows between the Metropolitan Area of Port-au-Prince (ZMPAP) and the rest of Haiti: April 2024 to October 2024
Estimated net flows between the Metropolitan Area of Port-au-Prince (ZMPAP) and the rest of Haiti from April to October 2024 are small compared to previous months and year.
More people moved in than out of the ZMPAP over July to October 2024 (an estimated +10,930), which has not often occurred since 2021.
Locations from which more people have moved into the ZMPAP include communal sections in Gressier and Arcahaie, where armed attacks have taken place in May and October 2024 respectively.
Key observations Part 2 | Estimated population change within the Metropolitan Area of Port-au-Prince (ZMPAP) due to mobility: July to October 2024
Mobility within the ZMPAP had a greater impact on population change in ZMPAP communal sections than mobility between the ZMPAP and the rest of Haiti, for July to October 2024.
People from areas affected by armed attacks mainly relocated to Turgeau and St-Martin (from Arcahaie) and to Rivere Froide and 1re section des Varreux (from Gressier).
Overall, the ZMPAP communal sections which most increased in population over Jul-Oct 2024 are Thor in Carrefour (+3,170), Etang du Jonc (+1,960) and Bellevue la Montagne (+1,700) in Pétion-Ville, and Bellevue (+1,720) in Tabarre.
Rivière Froide in Carrefour (-1,990 people), and Turgeau (-930 people) and Morne l'Hôpital ( -610 people) in Port-au-Prince decreased in population during Jul-Oct 2024 (due to large net outflows to other ZMPAP sections and in spite of net inflows from outside the ZMPAP).
Key observations Part 3 | Estimated population change of 7 large urban areas due to mobility - Overview of the last ~5 years: January 2020 to October 2024
The estimated population of the ZMPAP has declined overall since January 2021 (by nearly 180,000 people, -1.34% a year on average), and dropped under 3 million for the first time in early 2024 during this time period.
More recently (April to the end of October 2024), the estimated population of the ZMPAP as a whole has remained relatively constant, as a result of reduced mobility with the rest of Haiti.
Since 2021, other large cities have increased in estimated population instead (Gonaives, Jacmel, Les Cayes and Jérémie by over 1% a year on average), with the exception of Cap Haitien, which has been rather stable since 2021.
