HIGHLIGHTS
• Unusual Off-Season Rainfall: Over the past three months (Dec–Feb), above-average rainfall was observed across most of Haiti, an atypical pattern before the winter rainy season begins in April.
• Extreme Rainfall & Flooding: December and February saw heavy rainfall, with anomalies exceeding 200% of normal levels, leading to flooding, landslides, and infrastructure damage.
• Current Agricultural Resilience: Despite the extreme weather events, present crop conditions remain generally favorable, indicating a degree of resilience within the agricultural sector.
• Rainfall Projections: Short-term forecasts indicate continued above-average rainfall, particularly in southern and southwestern departments. Seasonal projections (Apr–Jun) also suggest wetter-than-normal conditions, though their relevance to crop outcomes is limited during the peak rainy season.
• Flood Hazard Remains High: With river basins still saturated and above-average rainfall expected in the coming months, close monitoring will be essential as Haiti transitions into the rainy season in April.
• Strategic Implication: The need for close monitoring of the forecast, and the high likelihood of future flooding, require immediate and well-planned disaster preparedness plans, and possible emergency funding to support possible affected populations.
• Atlantic Hurricane Outlook: Storm activity likely near average, but risks for Haiti remain—preparedness is key.