La Nina Outlook
The latest update from the National Meteorological Agency (NMA) indicates that near-normal rainfall is expected over Beneshangul Gumuz, Gambella, parts of SNNPR and western Oromia, as well as the highlands of eastern Tigray and Amhara in April. However, below-normal rains have been forecasted for the lowlands of the country, most of which are already suffering the effects of drought, while Afar and neighboring areas are likely to experience dry weather conditions during the month. According to that latest report from FEWSNET/WFP, the continued poor rains / failure of the rains during the peak of the belg/gu season (April) is likely to have additional adverse impacts on situation in the drought-affected areas, limiting urgently needed replenishment of water and pasture sources and contributing to further worsening of food security in the coming season. On the other hand, some new meteorological data suggests that the current La Niña conditions are finally weakening and likely to dissipate in May / June 2011. This is expected to result in higher than average rainfall in the highlands during the coming kiremt (June to September) rainy season, potentially provoking flooding in July and August. For more information, contact: firstname.lastname@example.org & email@example.com
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