The latest models suggest that the northern Sahel has trended slightly wetter and indicates above-normal rainfall during the summer breeding from Mauritania to Niger in August, increasing in September and October, including Chad and Sudan. Autumn rainfall in northwest Mauritania and Western Sahara in October and November. Drier during the summer in Yemen, Pakistan, and India. During the winter breeding area, slightly wetter starting in the Red Sea coast of Sudan, southwest Saudi Arabia, and northern Somalia in October, northern Red Sea of Saudi Arabia in November, and Yemen in December.
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