Ethiopia Food Security Outlook Update, August 2017
Extreme levels of acute food insecurity to persist in southeastern pastoral areas
- Delivery of humanitarian assistance remains delayed in parts of Somali Region currently classified in Emergency (IPC Phase 4). An immediate and sustained resumption of assistance is needed to prevent households from facing more extreme outcomes. As food consumption gaps widen, levels of acute malnutrition and mortality may rise further. Areas of greatest concern include Dollo, Korahe, Degahabour, and Jarar zones.
- FEWS NET expects large areas of Somali Region to remain in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) or Crisis (IPC Phase 3) between August 2017 and January 2018. In addition, parts of Amhara, Tigray, and northeastern SNNPR will remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) until Meher harvests begin in October, which should improve acute food insecurity to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) or Stressed (IPC Phase 2) levels between October 2017 and January 2018.
- On August 8, 2017, the National Disaster Response and Management Commission (NDRMC) released the mid-year review of the Humanitarian Requirements Document (HRD) for 2017. The NDRMC now estimates that approximately 8.5 million people will require assistance between July and December 2017.
- Kiremt rainfall has been average or above average in most Meher-dependent areas since early June. Average to above-average rainfall forecast through September will likely be favorable for crop production. However, FAO reports that approximately 22 percent of area planted in maize is infested by Fall Armyworm (FAW), which could impact production. In addition, crops that are planted in the Belg but harvested in the Meher were also affected by an erratic start of season.
- Maize prices increased significantly across most markets in July, maintaining an unseasonably sharp upward trend observed in recent months. These increases are likely due to a combination of lower than usual market supply into 2017, as well as reduced market supply during the lean season.