Ethiopia: Early Warning and Response Analysis, April 2017
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EARLY WARNING AND RESPONSE SUMMARY
The anticipated near normal rainfall during the month of April 2017 over Oromiya (East and West Walesa, Jima Ilu Ababora, North and West Shewa, West and East Harargie, Arsi Bale Borena and Guji), Benishangul Gumuz, Amara(North and South Wello, West and East Gojam, the surrounding areas of Bahir Dar, Agewawi, North and South Gonder), Afar ( Zone 3,4 and 5), Most zones of Tigray, SNNPR(Hadiya, Guragie, Sidama, Kefa, Bench Maji, Wolayta, South Omo and Segen Peoples) and Somali Region would have positive contribution for the existing Belg season's agricultural activities. Moreover it would ease the persisted dry condition and have also positive contribution for the improvement of pasture and drinking water in the pastoral areas. Therefore, the concerned personnel should take proper measure ahead of time to utilize the expected favorable moisture condition efficiently.
The expected flash flood in relation to the strength of weather systems might have negative impact in some localities. Thus the concerned personnel should take appropriate measures ahead of time in order to avoid damages due to flash flood particularly over the low-lying areas and in areas where the soils have low peculation capacity
In accordance with the ENCU report nationally; 30, 156 admitted with 89% reporting rate in March 2017. This is the highest admission since April 2016 and similar with that of March 2016. This increased admission is reported from Somali, Oromia and SNNPR. However, the admission in Afar, Amhara and Tigrai is declined in March compared with February.
In accordance with the FEWS NET Ethiopia market analysis (April 2017) even though Western surplus maize producing areas of the country received near normal production during Meher 2016, below average production in most parts of SNNPR and central Oromia and persistent increased in demand for maize as staple food constrained market supply in most parts of the country, in particular in areas where maize is the major staple food. On the other hand, sorghum supply in the northeastern parts of the country rated as normal following normal to above normal harvest obtained in Meher 2016.