Attachments
OVERVIEW Review of the March-May (MAM) season
- A slightly delayed onset of rainfall was witnessed at the start of the season.
- Floods were reported across several areas, including southern Somalia where there were heavy Gu rains.
- Extreme temperatures affected the region in March, particularly in northern Ethiopia and Somalia, as well as in South Sudan, Uganda, and eastern Kenya.
Summary of the June-September (JJAS) outlook
- There is a high probability of above-average rains over central Sudan, eastern South Sudan, northern and southwestern Ethiopia, western Kenya, and eastern Uganda, resulting in a higher risk of floods in these areas.
- Western Uganda, South Sudan, southern Sudan, Djibouti, and western Eritrea are also expected to experience wetter-than-average conditions.
- Flooding in South Sudan this year is likely to be as bad as 2024 or worse.
- There is a high likelihood of above-average temperatures over much of the region, especially over southern Ethiopia and Somalia, eastern Kenya, and northern Sudan.