Attachments
HIGHLIGHTS
June to September (JJAS) Review:
- Lake Victoria levels were the highest ever recorded in May 2024. As this water flowed into the White Nile it has led to significant flooding in the Sudd, where permanent land loss may occur this year.
- El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions returned to neutral in May/June. However, heavy rains were seen across the northern half of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), causing severe floods especially in Sudan and Ethiopia.
October to December (OND) Outlook:
- With La Niña conditions likely to emerge (81% chance), less than usual rainfall is predicted for the coastal and south-eastern half of the GHA, increasing drought risk in Somalia, eastern Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania. Above average rainfall is likely in south-western parts of the GHA; in Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and South Sudan.
- Hotter than average temperatures are expected across the region over OND.