Attachments
HIGHLIGHTS
October to December (OND) Review
- There was mixed rainfall patterns over OND; deficits in central Somalia and northeastern Kenya; wetter than average in northern Uganda, southern S. Sudan, western Kenya and northern Tanzania. No major floods occurred.
- La Nina (onset December 2024) brought drier conditions to some areas. By February, rain deficits and dry soil were reported in southwestern Uganda and western/southeastern Tanzania, raising the risk of floods with subsequent rains.
- Warmer-than-usual temperatures seen across of the region.
March April May (MAM) Outlook
- A high chance of drier-than-normal conditions (55%) is indicated for the borders-areas of Ethiopia-Kenya-Somalia, north-eastern Eritrea, and southwestern South Sudan.
- This is influences by La Nina conditions which are likely to persist into April (59% chance), followed by neutral conditions afterwards.
- Wetter than normal conditions are expected over parts of central and southern Tanzania, northeastern Uganda, eastern South Sudan and western Ethiopia.
- Temperatures are forecast to be above-average region wide.