WTPN31 PHNC 200400
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01E (ADRIAN) WARNING NR
011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
200000Z2 --- NEAR 13.1N5 90.0W9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS -
015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS -
020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS -
030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 90.0W9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z5 --- 14.4N9 88.3W9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS -
030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z3 --- 16.0N7 86.2W6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z6 --- 17.7N5 84.1W3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z4 --- 19.2N2 81.8W7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z5 --- 22.0N4 76.0W3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED
NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z6 --- 25.0N7 69.0W5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
200000Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.1N5 90.0W9.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NAVAL PACIFIC METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN) JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER. ALL FURTHER WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVLANTMETOCCEN NORFOLK, VA UNDER THE MANOP WTNT01 KNGU NEXT WARNING IS AT 201000Z3
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.