SYNOPSIS OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL
According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 2:00 PM (AST) on July 08, 2018, Beryl continues to move WNW towards the Lesser Antilles with no change in strength. Beryl or its remnants is forecast to approach the Lesser Antilles this evening, Sunday July 08, and cross the island chain tonight.
Gradual weakening is anticipated over the next 24 hours, and Beryl is forecast to degenerate into a trough or low pressure system by this evening as it moves across the Lesser Antilles and into the eastern Caribbean Sea by Monday July 09.
CARIBBEAN INSTITUTE FOR METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY (CIMH) WEATHER UPDATE
Beryl has become a large mass of showers and embedded thundershowers with the strongest lines of thunderstorms to the North and East of its centre. The storm's eye remains partially exposed. The projected path takes Beryl through Dominica with effects being felt in Guadeloupe as a weak tropical storm. The models suggest that conditions are good for a 'burst' of increased activity as the storm enters the Caribbean Sea. However, conditions quickly become unfavourable as Beryl continues west.
WINDS: The strongest storm activity remains confined to the core of the storm. Winds and accompanying gusts could detach tree limbs, weaken structures, dislodge loose debris and remove tarpaulin roofs. Territories on the periphery of the storm can expect gusty winds with accompanied showers.
RAINFALL: Conditions favour an increase in showers/rain as Beryl enters the Caribbean Sea. This may be enhanced by local topographic conditions which could increase rainfall accumulations over Dominica. Flash flooding, localized land slippage, and debris flows may occur especially during periods of intense rainfall.
The impact of Hurricane Maria on Dominica which resulted in blocked waterways, damage to drainage infrastructure, and exposure of steep-sided slopes, is likely to exacerbate debris flows and flooding.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS: Severe thunderstorms could lead to disruption of electrical and communication services as a result of possible lightning strikes on the infrastructure.
Fisher folk and other marine operators are advised to exercise caution.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR CDEMA PARTICIPATING STATES
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Dominica