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Statement from the nineteenth Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF-19), Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo, 26 – 28 August 2015

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SUMMARY
The bulk of the southern tier states of continental Southern African Development Community (SADC) is likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall for the period October to December (OND) 2015 and the January to March (JFM) 2016. However, most Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) northern Angola, Tanzania, north-eastern Zambia, northern Malawi, northern Mozambique, the Islands States of Mauritius, Seychelles and eastern-most Madagascar are more likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall. Northernmost of Tanzania and Madagascar are more likely to receive above-normal to normal rainfall.

THE NINETEENTH SOUTHERN AFRICA REGIONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK FORUM

The Nineteenth Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum was held in Kinshasa,
DRC from 26 to 28 August 2015 to present a consensus outlook for the 2015/2016 rainfall season over the SADC region. Climate scientists from the SADC National Meteorological and/or Hydrological Services (NMHSs), the SADC Climate Services Centre (CSC) formulated this outlook. Additional products from other global climate prediction centres namely, European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF), International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), UK Met Office and Bureau of Meteorology, Australia (BoM) were considered in formulation of the consensus seasonal climate outlook. This outlook covers the major rainfall season in SADC countries, i.e. from October 2015 to March 2016. The outlooks are presented in overlapping three-monthly periods as follows: October-November- December (OND); November-December-January (NDJ); December-January-February (DJF); and January-February-March (JFM)