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Overview
The latest IPC data reveals that approximately 25.4 million people (23 percent of the population analysed) are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity, classified in IPC Phase 3 or above (Crisis or worse). Between July to December 2023, around 3 percent of people (around 3.5 million people) are classified in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 20 percent (around 21.8 million people) in Phase 3 (Crisis).
The provinces with the highest population numbers in Phase 3 and above include: North-Kivu (2,6 M), city of Kinshasa (2,1 M), Kasaï Central (1,6 M), South-Kivu (1,5 M), Kwilu (1,5 M), Ituri (1,3 M), Congo Central (1,4 M), Tanganyika (1,4 M), Kasaï Oriental (1,1 M) and Kasaï (1,1 M).
The most affected populations are mainly displaced people, returnees, host families and populations living in conflict zones or affected by natural disasters. The poorest populations in urban and peri-urban areas as well as those highly dependent on the market, with low purchasing power and living in isolated areas are also highly affected.
The areas with the highest proportions of populations in IPC Phase 3 and above are found in the provinces of Kasai, Kasaï Central and Kasaï Oriental (respectively 41, 37 and 27 percent), Ituri (32 percent), Tanganyika (31 percent), North Kivu (29 percent) and Maniema (26 percent). In the province of Ituri, certain territories (such as Djugu) have nearly 45 percent of their population experiencing high food insecurity (Phase 3 and above).
In the projected period of January to June 2024, 23.4 million people (22 percent of the population analysed) are likely to face high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phases 3 or above). Further population displacement, caused by armed conflict, is likely to occur – primarily in the eastern provinces of the country. In areas affected by armed conflict, limited access to production areas may have negative consequences. In the Bandundu area, the level of intercommunity violence could decrease by facilitating the gradual return of displaced people. Changes in the exchange rate are likely to lead to an acceleration in the depreciation of the currency, increasing the prices of imported products. In addition, with the deterioration of world commodity prices, non-agricultural labour could experience a reduction in income in mining areas