Overview
Approximately 25.8 million people are projected to experience high levels of acute food insecurity classified in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or above between January and June 2023. According to an updated projection analysis conducted in April 2023, this is an increase on the already high magnitude of 24.5 million people projected in the July 2022 analysis, confirming the significance of the scale of food insecurity at the national level. Of the total 25.8 million people, approximately 3.4 million people are estimated to be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) – a significant increase from 2.8 million in the July 2022 analysis. The number of people in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) has increased from 21.7 million to 22.4 million in the recent analysis.
Armed conflict, leading to massive population displacement, continues to reduce the purchasing power of the poorest households with the populations most affected by acute food insecurity being IDPs and households hosting displaced or returned families as well as households living in areas affected by armed conflict.
The seven territories most affected in the provinces of North Kivu and Ituri are Rutshuru, Nyiragongo, Masisi, Beni and Goma and Djugu and Mambasa, respectively. The territories of Djuga (Ituri) and Rutshuru (North Kivu) both slid from Crisis (IPC Phase 3) into Emergency compared to the July 2022 analysis with 65 percent and 55 percent of their populations in Crisis or Emergency. The city of Goma (North Kivu) was classified in Phase 2, Stressed and is now in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) as it remains heavily affected by armed conflict and military operations in the surrounding territories – limiting the capacity to supply food to local markets. The movement of people into production areas, particularly the territories of Rutshuru, Nyiragongo, Masisi and Djugu, has affected local agricultural production and it is estimated that around 1 million displaced people have been accommodated in the city of Goma, putting great pressure on local livelihoods and resources.