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DR Congo

Crisis Analysis - DR Congo: Monthly Displacement Report, August 2024

Attachments

I. Methodological approach

Data collection

The researchers and analysts of the DRC Crisis Analysis Team (CAT-DRC) collect, triangulate and analyze information gathered from primary and secondary sources. Each week, researchers conduct interviews with key informants to understand better the events contributing to the humanitarian crisis in eastern DRC (violent incidents, epidemics, natural disasters, etc.). They analyze their potential impact on humanitarian operations. These interviews take place with local administrative officials, community leaders, health personnel, army and armed groups members, and humanitarian organizations active in Ituri, North Kivu, South Kivu, Tanganyika and Maniema.

CAT-DRC also uses secondary sources made available by humanitarian partners (e.g. OCHA,
INSO) and the community. All information undergoes a triangulation process before analysis and dissemination. However, the information presented in this report is subject to change at the time of publication due to rapidly evolving events in the region. If you have any comments or information you would like the CAT-DRC to follow up on, please fill in this form here.

Data analysis and report subdivision

The analyses presented focus on two main aspects: (i) population displacement and the status of humanitarian needs coverage; and (ii) humanitarian access in the areas hosting the most displaced people in eastern DRC.

Population displacement and humanitarian needs

Displacement analysis is the first aspect of this report. This analysis aims on the one hand to (i) document and understand new population movements, i.e. those that occurred during the month covered by this report, and on the other hand to (ii) assess and map the areas that have hosted the most displaced people over the last four months, including the month covered by this report. These areas are referred to as displacement hotspots.

Both displacement hotspots and new displacements are analyzed at the territorial level in the five provinces studied in eastern DRC, and are presented in Map 1. On this map, territories are categorized into class intervals (shown by a graduated colored background) corresponding to the number of households hosted in the territory who have not yet received humanitarian assistance. The number of households used to categorize territories corresponds to the sum of all major displacements, i.e. over 300 households, reported in each territory between May 2024 and August 2024.

Displacements of more than 300 households that took place in August 2024 are also illustrated in Map 1, by marking the position of the localities hosting the displaced people. These new displacements are then described more precisely, on a case-by-case basis, between the origin and host localities in each of the territories where they took place.

Humanitarian access

Analysis of humanitarian access is then presented in the report. CAT-DRC categorizes incidents based on a humanitarian access score. This score has six levels, from 1 to 6, which describe the severity of the impact of security incidents on humanitarian access. Level 1 corresponds to a situation where the incident has no impact on access. Level 6, the highest, corresponds to a situation where the incident causes extreme access restrictions. Incidents at levels 4 to 6 have a severe impact on humanitarian access, and generally involve ambushes, clashes between armed actors, attacks and looting of villages, or natural disasters. The humanitarian access score then makes it possible to identify the main hot spots in eastern DRC. For a given month, analysis of the access scores makes it possible to identify the actors who have had the greatest impact on humanitarian access. From one month to the next, this score also enables us to understand the evolution of humanitarian access restrictions in the territories studied.

In view of the large number of areas studied in eastern DRC, CAT-DRC’s analysis is limited to areas with a high concentration of displaced persons. The analysis of humanitarian access is therefore carried out first and foremost in displacement hotspots, i.e. areas which, over the last four months (including the month covered by this report), have recorded the highest number of displaced people yet to receive humanitarian assistance. These areas with a high concentration of displaced people are typically those that should be targeted for humanitarian intervention in the short term. As such, documenting access restrictions to these areas is relevant. Concretely, in this report, the territories included in humanitarian access analysis are those where the number of displaced (or returnees) are higher than the median value (7,760 households) of displacements recorded in all territories over the last four months (see appendix 1).