OVERVIEW
Highlights of the April-June Seasons (AMJ) Review
- Rainfall has been relatively similar to, or slightly below the seasonal average for the last few months for most of the region.
- There have already been two powerful hurricanes so far this year, which is relatively early in the season, one in the Atlantic Basin and one in the Pacific Basin (making landfall in Mexico) which has caused significant flooding and infrastructure damages.
- Above-average temperatures were recorded across most of the region, with some heatwaves in Mexico, Belize and Puerto Rico.
Summary of the July-September (JAS) Outlook
- We are expecting an above average hurricane season in the Atlantic, whilst an average hurricane season is likely in the Pacific.
- Rainfall forecasted to be average, with some small pockets of slightly above average rainfall in Panama, Colombia and Venezuela.
- Floods are likely in areas with above-average rainfall and within hurricane tracks.
- Above average temperatures are forecasted for across the region, with the highest risk of heatwaves across the Caribbean. This together with poor air quality caused by Saharan Dust outbreaks may worsen cardiovascular and respiratory episodes.