- Food supplies are normal and most parts of the country are either food insecure or moderately food insecure. - In the face of high food prices and the high cost of cooking fuel, farmers affected by flooding problems in Mayo Kebbi and Moyen Chari and poor urban households are being classified as moderately to highly food insecure.
- Despite the humanitarian aid going to officially registered refugees and IDPs in the country's eastern zone, with the new civil security threats in this area, it is also being classified as moderately to highly food insecure. Farm families in Dar Tama affected by recent ethnic fighting have lost most of their crops, and 83 percent of the 6,000 Central African refugees arriving in Daha in the last six weeks are women and children.
- Under the most likely scenario for April through June, most of the country would be food secure or moderately food insecure. The Kanem, Guereda, and Gounou-Gaya areas would be highly food insecure due to poor harvests, fighting, flooding problems, and losses of draft animals.
- In the worst-case scenario, most of the country would be highly to extremely food insecure. The triggers for such a scenario include new military action in the country's eastern zone, problems implementing government price control programs, and shortages of pasture, feed supplements, and drinking water for livestock.