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CAR

GIEWS Country Brief: Central African Republic 27-March-2024

Attachments

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  • Conflicts and displacements continue to constrain agricultural production in 2025
  • Prices of locally ‑ produced staple foods declined during second half of 2024
  • Over 2 million people estimated to be severely food insecure in 2025

Conflicts and displacements continue to constrain agricultural production in 2025

In northern areas of the country, harvesting of the 2024 millet and sorghum crops finalized last November and production is estimated at a near ‑ average level. In central and southern areas, planting of the 2025 maize crop is about to start and weather forecasts between April and June 2025 point to below ‑ average rainfall amounts, which may negatively affect planting operations and early crop development. In addition, conflicts and displacements are expected to continue in 2025, affecting agricultural activities and limiting farmers’ access to crop growing areas and inputs.

Prices of locally ‑ produced staple foods declined during second half of 2024

Between July 2024 and January 2025, prices of most locally ‑ produced staple foods, including maize and cassava, declined and were 5 percent below year-on-year. Prices of imported food commodities, such as rice, started to decline in November 2024, but remained slightly above the previous year’s level in January 2025, mainly due to the low domestic supply resulting from reduced imports through river corridors from the Democtatic Republic of Congo and the Republic of the Congo.

Over 2 million people estimated to be severely food insecure in 2025

According to the latest Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) analysis, published in November 2024, about 2 million people (over 30 percent of the analyzed population) were estimated to face high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 [Crisis] or above) between September 2024 and March 2025, including 307 000 people classified in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency). About 2.25 million people (35 percent of the analyzed population) are projected face IPC Phase 3 (Crisis) or above between April and August 2025 (lean season), including 431 000 people classified in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency). In most prefectures, civil insecurity in 2025 is expected to continue causing population displacements and widespread disruption of agricultural and marketing activities with negative consequences on food availability and access.