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Overview
Between September 2024 and March 2025, approximately 2 millions people (31 percent of the analysed population) are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity - classified as IPC Phase 3 or above. Nearly 1.7 million people are in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), and 307,000 are facing Emergency levels (Phase 4) of food insecurity.
The populations most affected include those who experienced low yields from agricultural production and have already depleted their food reserves. This group includes casual labourers, displaced households, and poor urban families reliant on the market for their food needs. While these individuals are dispersed throughout the country, their presence is comparatively higher in the prefectures of Basse-Kotto, Lim Pendé, Mambéré, Mbomou, Nana-Mambéré, Ouaka, and Ouham-Pendé. The sub-prefectures of Bambouti, Djema, and Mboki (in Haut Mbomou) are also classified in Phase 4, indicating a critical need for interventions aimed at saving lives, reducing food consumption deficits, and protecting livelihoods.
Despite some seasonal improvement compared to the previous update in April 2024—when 2.5 million people (41 percent of the population) were classified in Phase 3 or above —the situation remains concerning due to several factors. These include economic access challenges for certain households, a lack of food reserves, disruptions in internal and cross-border supply chains due to armed violence, flooding impacts, irregular rainfall affecting agriculture (the primary livelihood in most areas), and population displacement. Furthermore, deteriorating road conditions limit physical access to various regions, compounded by shortages of seeds and agricultural tools, rising food prices, transportation costs, and ongoing outbreaks of diseases such as measles, malaria and cholera.
The situation is expected to deteriorate between April and August 2025 if necessary measures are not implemented. About 2.25 million people (35 percent of the analysed population) will likely experience crisis (Phase 3) and emergency (Phase 4) levels of acute food insecurity. During this period, it is estimated that around 1.82 million people will be in Phase 3 and approximately 431,000 people will be in Phase 4. The most affected populations will largely remain the same as in the current period but will also include an additional 200,000 people from across the country. This increase is particularly notable in the sub-prefectures of Mingala, Zangba (Basse-Kotto), and Ouadda, along with previously mentioned areas classified in Phase 4.