Former FNCI forces are highly likely to continue to protest, resulting in violent clashes with forces loyal to the government. Intercommunal tensions make it likely that violence spreads beyond the military to directly involve the population.
Roadblocks and the takeover of port cities will prevent the free movement of both civilians and humanitarian actors.
There is a likelihood of displacement of civilians internally and into neighbouring communities and countries.
Restricted access could put food security at risk in Bouaké, Yamoussoukro, and Abidjan initially.