Attachments
Key Messages
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Most areas in western Burundi are expected to experience Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes through May 2024, supported by remaining food stocks from the near-average 2023 Season B harvest, above-average 2023 Season C harvest, expected near-average 2024 Season A crop production, and relatively stable access to income sources. Despite the improvements in access to food, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in the Northern Lowlands livelihood zone through January, driven by rapid depletion of 2023 the below-average Season B food stocks, high food prices, and restricted access to cross-border opportunities. Meanwhile, the Eastern Lowlands and Eastern Dry Plateaus livelihood zones are likely to experience Stressed (IPC Phase 2) conditions until May 2024, due to limited income earning opportunities.
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During the lean period leading up to January, the availability of food has been enhanced through food imports from Tanzania, restrictions on the export of crop harvests to neighboring countries such as Tanzania and Rwanda, and limitations on local food transportation between provinces. Additionally, the above-average 2023 Season C harvests further improved access. The administrative measures undertaken not only helped stabilize food prices but also encouraged the preservation of household food stocks for domestic consumption. As a result, there was a decrease in bean prices by approximately 10 percent in December compared to the previous month. Nevertheless, prices remained notably high, ranging from 35 to 65 percent above the five-year average and about 10 percent higher than last year's prices.
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The timely commencement of the short rains season at the end of September allowed for a typical onset of preparations for the 2024 Season A. The above-average rainfall has created favorable vegetative conditions for various crops, such as maize, rice, sorghum, cassava, sweet potatoes, bananas, and cash crops, as well as grazing pasture for livestock. However, the excess moisture has had adverse effects on bean crops, which are particularly sensitive to such conditions. In scattered areas across the country, erosion, landslides, and floods resulting from the abundant rainfall have destroyed crops and livelihood assets.
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According to WFP, funding shortfalls resulted in around 56,000 refugees and asylum seekers receiving about 70 percent of their usual food ration. This shortage in food assistance is likely to contribute to Stressed! (IPC Phase 2!) outcomes among these households until January 2024. Approximately 6,300 individuals who have returned to their homes have been provided with a full ration, inclusive of hot meals during their stay in transit centers, along with a three-month package to support their reintegration. The humanitarian assistance has been extended to over 22,000 individuals who have been affected by climatic and socioeconomic shocks in Ngozi, Kirundo, Muyinga, Cibitoke, and Bujumbura through a combination of in-kind and cash transfers, covering 100 percent of their caloric needs.