- Well distributed rains have resulted in favorable conditions across southern Ethiopia, southeastern Sudan and western portions of the Lake Victoria Basin. However, heavy downpours triggered flooding along the Kenya Coast.
- Seasonal rains are late to start across eastern Kenya, resulting in drought development. Dry conditions have also had a negative impact on pastures in Djibouti and adjacent parts of Ethiopia and Eritrea. Dry weather recently has raised concerns over crop stress in some parts of the eastern Ethiopian Highlands.
1) Seasonal rains are late to start across eastern Kenya, resulting in drought development.
2) Heavy downpours triggered floods along the Kenya Coast. More downpours are expected, and additional flooding is possible.
3) Despite the dry weather over the past week or so, residual flooding problems persist along the lower stretches of the Shebelle River in Somalia.
4) Rainfall has been good over the past few months across much of southern Ethiopia and southeastern Sudan. These well distributed rains have been favorable for pastures and crops.
5) Excellent short season rains resulted in robust pasture regeneration and abundant water supplies. However, recent rains have been rather scant.
6) Rainfall has been less than half of average across Djibouti, the northern half of Ethiopia's Afar region and the Red Sea Zone in Eritrea during the past few months. Dry conditions have begun to develop in the Belg areas of Ahmara and Tigray in Ethiopia.
7) Abundant, well distributed rains resulted in favorable conditions for crops and pastures across the western portions of the Lake Victoria Basin.
8) Heavy rain may cause flooding problems early in the period across southern Nigeria and southern Benin.