2. At 5:00 pm the centre of the Tropical Storm Emily was estimated to be near 11.1 north and 52.8 west or about 475 miles east-southeast of Barbados. The system is travelling toward the west at 20 mph. Sustained winds are estimated to be near 50 mph and tropical storm force winds extend up to 50 miles outward from the centre.
3. The Tropical Storm has not intensified over the last six hours but forecasters say it could strengthen tonight. As a result of the increased forward movement at 20 mph, Emily will impact Barbados and Tobago around midday noon Wednesday and then continue to Grenada, St Vincent and the Grenadines, and Saint Lucia.
4. The revised forecast track by the National Hurricane Centre in Miami now estimates that Emily will pass close to the south coast of Barbados tomorrow night. This would mean that Barbados's south coast would be exposed to the strongest winds which are normally located in the north-east quadrant of the system.
5. This track is based on the forecast issued at 5 pm. The projection tends to change as each forecast is issued every six hours.
6. A reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system early tomorrow morning after which a more accurate location and forecast track will be available.
7. Further information is available at www.cdera.org including information on action being taken by member states of CDERA which may come under the watch/warning area. Information on hurricane preparedness is available online at http://www.cdera.org/doccentre/fs_tropsys.php
GLIDE REF: TC-2005-000115