Key Recommendations to progress Forecast-Based Action
• Capacity for FbA should build on existing strengths of communities; and local and national DRM systems. For wider adoption, leadership and sustainability, FbA capacity should be embedded within local and national DRM stakeholders, structures and communities.
• FbA should include a wide range of actions to enable communities and households to mitigate disasters. Inclusive and participatory processes with communities can identify a wide range of household and community early actions, which meet the needs of different groups and deliver more than shifting humanitarian action early.
• Increase forecasting capability with forecasting actors; and use of forecasts by authorities and communities. Impact-based forecasts tailored to the decision and planning needs of different stakeholders is required for effective FbA, alongside capacity-building of forecasting authorities to produce forecasts suitable for FbA and for decision-makers at all levels to interpret and use them.
• Financing needs to be secured for certainty of FbA. Funds need to be committed in advance for FbA from within national and local disaster management budgets to ensure early actions can be taken, in addition to identifying other sources through social safety net programs, international humanitarian funding and climate finance.