Approximate date of impact
Following additional assessments, ARCS identified 20 February 2025 as the trigger date, with approximately 560 people expected to arrive from Syria. Around 80 people were anticipated to arrive each Sunday starting from 6 December 2024. This scenario was based on in-depth discussions with government representatives, who expected an increase in arrivals following the reactivation of air connections between Syria and Armenia. However, as of 20 February, this has not been met.
Provide any updates in the situation since the field report and explain what is expected to happen
The ARCS has proactively engaged with the Government of Armenia, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs, and Migration Services, to obtain detailed data on the anticipated influx of people arriving from Syria and Lebanon. At the end of December 2024, a meeting was organized by the Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs with representatives from humanitarian organizations, UN agencies, and government officials. ARCS was represented by the Head of the Migration Department. During the meeting, responsibilities were divided among the various actors, and a coordination mechanism was agreed upon.
The shift of power in Syria in December 2024, have introduced new risks for both the country and the region. The recent events have contributed to an increase in migration flows, with 55 people recently arriving in Armenia from Syria, reflecting the fast-evolving security and humanitarian situation where an estimated 12,000 Armenians still reside. The Armenian government has remained vigilant, closely monitoring the current situation and coordinating with international partners to facilitate safe passage for those fleeing hostilities. Despite the closure of diplomatic missions in Aleppo and Damascus, alternative communication channels have been established to assist people seeking safety. The government has also adapted its response mechanisms, prioritising the safety and integration of new arrivals.
In parallel, the recent developments in Lebanon have also driven increased migration, with approximately 1,600 persons arriving from Lebanon in Armenia since October 2024. This significant influx poses dual challenges for the the Armenian government and humanitarian organizations, requiring responses tailored to the unique circumstances of people on the move from two interconnected crises. Both groups need support in areas such as housing, healthcare, and legal assistance to facilitate their integration into Armenian society.
On 14 December 2024, a flight from Beirut to Yerevan brought 115 passengers, mostly of Armenian nationality and the inclusion of 19 people from Syria. Among them, ARCS interviewed 13 passengers of Syrian nationality, with some of the interviewed holding dual Lebanese nationality. Several passengers chose not to participate in interviews, while those who did shared concerns about employment challenges and the necessity of relocation. Many expressed fears about hostilities in Syria and Lebanon, emphasizing the direct risks to their families. Their responses also reflected uncertainty about their future in Armenia, underscoring the fluidity of the crisis and their search for stability.
To ensure proper documentation and facilitate access to essential services, ARCS instructed all new arrivals to register with the Migration Service Center. This step is critical for coordinating assistance and integrating persons arriving from Syria and Lebanon into Armenian society. ARCS continues to work closely with the government and other stakeholders to provide a comprehensive and coordinated response to the challenges posed by the influx of people on the move.
The likelihood of a significant influx of persons arriving from Syria and Lebanon remains unpredictable and varies daily. In anticipation, the Government of Armenia has established a coordination mechanism and sought support from international humanitarian partners. These efforts are aimed at mitigating potential strain on the country, drawing from lessons learned during the 2023 Karabakh crisis. By combining government initiatives with the operational expertise of organizations like ARCS, Armenia strives to ensure that its response to this evolving crisis remains timely, effective, and rooted in humanitarian principles.