041- WTNT31 KNHC 190833 - TCPAT1 BULLETIN
HURRICANE LENNY ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI NOV 19 1999
...LENNY STATIONARY AND WEAKENING NEAR ST. BARTHELEMEY AND ST. MAARTEN...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DUTCH ST. MAARTEN... FRENCH ST. MARTIN...ST.BARTHELEMEY...ANGUILLA...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...AND BARBUDA.
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST OR JUST NORTH OF THE ISLAND OF ST. BARTHELEMEY. THIS IS ALSO JUST EAST OF ST. MAARTEN.
LENNY IS CURRENTLY NEARLY STATIONARY. A SLOW EAST-NORTHEAST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. WITH THIS SLOW MOTION...THE CENTER OF LENNY WILL LIKELY BE NEAR ST. BARTHELEMEY...ST. MAARTEN...AND ANGUILLA FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS KEEPS LENNY A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SUSTAINED WINDS STRONGER THAN 100 MPH COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. REPORTS FROM ST. MAARTEN INDICATE THE WESTERN EYEWALL IS VERY NEAR THE ISLAND...WITH RAPID CHANGES IN WIND SPEED OCCURRING AS THE EYE WOBBLES.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS...ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE. THESE RAINS CAN PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FT ABOVE NORMAL...ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS LARGE BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED NEAR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...18.1 N... 62.8 W. MOVEMENT... NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.
BEVEN
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.