Attachments
Highlights
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As of early November 2023, many areas had not yet recorded an effective onset of rainfall. The rainfall season typically starts in mid-November in most parts of the region.
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Short-term forecasts indicate below-average rainfall is likely through the end of November 2023 in central parts of the region, which could delay the onset of rainfall in some areas. Continuous monitoring of early-season rains is crucial to assess the impact on agricultural activities.
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The Southern African Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF) was released in September and predicted there is a greater probability of normal to below normal rainfall in the October to December 2023 period in many parts of the region.
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There is currently a strong El Niño, which often results in hotter and drier than average conditions in the south and central parts of the region, while northeastern areas usually receive above-average rainfall.