Attachments
The members of EWIMWG delivered a comprehensive presentation on early warning information to the cluster partners. Below, you'll find the key highlights from the pivotal presentation.
- Precipitation: According to all models, For January 2023- Marh 2024, there are most likely chance of above average precipitation in most of Afghanistan. However, rainfall analysis for the period since 1 November shows below-average precipitation over the country (10-100mm anomalies, locally higher in the West. o Snow: Negative snow depth, and snow water equivalent anomalies are greatest in the Northeast as well as along the northern slopes of the central mountains. As a result, abnormal dryness is placed in northern, eastern, and northeastern Afghanistan.
- Temperature: During the outlook period, 7-day mean maximum temperatures are forecasted to be well above average across Afghanistan. During Jan-Mar 2024, various climate models have consistently forecasted above-average e temperatures during this outlook period.
- Price: WFP in-kind food basket in Afghani has shown a continuous decline since reaching its peak in June 2022 up to September 2023, but had a slight increase in October 2023, followed by a decrease in December 2023. The Food Security and Agriculture Cluster (FSAC) food basket used for cash-based transfers (CBTs).
The national average AFN price of FSAC basket in the month of December 2023 was 2.6 percent lower than the last month and higher by 24 percent compared to the pre– Covid period (second week of March 2020). The national average USD price decreased negligibly by 1.5 percent in the month of December 2023 compared to the previous month, 5 percent lower than the price one year ago and 13 percent higher compared to month of June 2021 (before the recent conflicts and political change).