JTWC Summary: TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (BERGUITTA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 144 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SHIELD OF RELATIVELY DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER EVIDENT IN A 171715Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS AND A 1758Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS.THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON THESE ASCAT PASSES, WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE.THE INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH RECENT MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK AND AUTOMATED SATELLITE INTENSITY CONSENSUS …
Disaster Alert is a web browser-accessible touch-friendly disaster monitoring and early warning interactive map created by the Pacific Disaster Center. It is powered by DisasterAWARE, the All-Hazard Warnings, Analysis, and Risk Evaluation System. DisasterAWARE is an integrated platform providing situational awareness, decision support, and information exchange capabilities to disaster management decision makers. It continually monitors information feeds from reliable meteorological and geolocial agencies around the world ensuring accurate, real-time reporting of hazard events.
VAAC ASH ADVISORY SUMMARY: CONTINUOUS VOLCANO ASH EMISSION TO FL210. VOLCANO ASH CURRENTLY NOT IDENTIFIABLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. ERUPTION IS STILL ONGOING AND OBSERVED ON WEBCAM. VOLCANO ASH HEIGHT AND MOVEMENT BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IMAGERY, MODEL GUIDANCE, WEBCAM, PILOT REPORT AND GROUND REPORT.
Aviation Color Code: RED
Explanation: eruption is forecast to be imminent with significant emission of ash into the atmosphere likely, or eruption is underway with significant emission of ash.
VAAC ASH ADVISORY SUMMARY: CONTINUOUS VOLCANO ASH EMISSION TO FL250 LAST OBSERVED AT 28/1530Z EXT SW. VOLCANO ASH CURRENTLY NOT DISCERNIBLE ON SAT IMAGERY. VOLCANO ASH HEIGHT AND MOVEMENT BASED ON PREVIOUS ADVISORY, HIMAWARI-8 28/1530Z IMAGERY, SURABAYA 28/1200Z SOUNDING AND MODEL GUIDANCE.
Authorities with Indonesia’s National Disaster Management Agency (Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana, BNPB) have just raised warnings to the highest possible level and expanded evacuation for 100,000 people as Bali’s Mount Agung volcano spews ash miles into the air with increasing frequency and severity. Indonesia’s powerful early warning and decision support system, InAWARE, is helping officials anticipate impacts to populated areas and develop evacuation and response plans to protect everyone in harm’s way.