The February-June 2018 IPC projection for Somalia (issued at the end of January 2018) was based on the following main assumptions:
A harsh 2018 Jilaal (Jan-Mar)
Likely below average 2018 Gu (Apr-Jun) rainfall across most parts of Somalia
Limited/no humanitarian assistance
A total Somalia population of 12.3 million with the following breakdown: 5.2 million urban, 6 million rural and 1.1 million IDPs (see table below)
SoSh (Somali shilling)-using areas: Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined mildly (by 1-7%) in April 2018. Similarly, the CPI declined (by 11-20%) annually due to decreases in cereal prices.
SISh (Somaliland shilling)-using areas: The CPI remain relatively stable month-on-month in April 2018 but increased (6%) year-on-year due to higher cereal prices this year.
April 2018 was marked by well above average rains across the country, with the exception of some parts of Bari, Sanaag, Sool and Nugal. Most of the rain gauge stations recorded avereage to well above average rains.