Somalia + 5 more

Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook November 28 – December 4, 2013

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Despite a slight increase in rainfall across many anomalously dry parts of eastern Kenya in November, seasonal moisture deficits are expected to negatively impact the region.

  1. While some local areas observed some moisture recovery along the Jubba River basin in southern Somalia during mid-November, the absence of precipitation in October has led to significant moisture deficits across many parts of southern Somalia and eastern Kenya. This dryness is likely to negatively impact the development of crops, and pastoral conditions with little opportunity for recovery before the end of the rains season.

  2. Significantly heavy rainfall across eastern Ethiopia and Somalia during the middle of November has elevated the risk for downstream flooding along the Jubba and Shabelle River basins.

  3. In November, poorly distributed rainfall across both unimodal and bimodal areas of northwestern Tanzania have led to growing moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions for many local areas in the Mara, Mwanza, Kagera, Shinyanga, Tabora, and Singida provinces of the country. Heavy rainfall is forecast to help relieve dry conditions in the southwestern parts of the country during the next seven days.