Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook November 21 – November 27, 2013
Drier conditions expected during the next week across East Africa, following anomalously heavy rainfall in mid-November.
1) While some local areas observed some moisture recovery along the Jubba River basin in southern Somalia during mid-November, the absence of precipitation in October has led to considerable moisture deficits across many parts of southern Somalia and eastern Kenya. The delayed seasonal rains could negatively impact the development of crops, and pastoral conditions in the region, however, an increase in rainfall is expected during the next week.
2) Significantly heavy rainfall across eastern Ethiopia and Somalia during the middle of November has elevated the risk for downstream flooding along the Jubba and Shabelle River basins. For the upcoming outlook period, near average rainfall is forecast across the region.