Nigeria + 16 more

Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook, September 17 – September 23, 2015


- Heavy rains trigger flooding in parts of Nigeria.
- Suppressed rainfall continues over parts of southern Ethiopia, South Sudan and Uganda.

  1. While a recent increase in August precipitation is expected to lead to more favorable ground moisture, a delayed onset and uneven rainfall distribution observed during the June-September season may negatively impact cropping and pastoral conditions in the region.

  2. Despite recent increase in rainfall, the much delayed start to the rainfall season has resulted in drought, which has severely impacted ground conditions and already led to livestock death across parts of north-central and eastern Ethiopia.

  3. Well above-average seasonal has led to a saturation of ground conditions in several regions of West Africa. The continuation of heavy rainfall forecast is expected to sustain the risk of flooding across the region for the upcoming outlook period.

  4. Well below-average rainfall during August has led to a strengthening of moisture deficits throughout several provinces in southern South Sudan and northern Uganda. Below-average rainfall is expected in the region for the upcoming outlook period.

  5. In early September, locally torrential rains resulted in floods, displaced populations, and damages to crops and infrastructure in the Kebbi, Sokoto, Zamfara, and Kano states of northwestern Nigeria. Heavy rains and a dam failure have also led to flooding, affecting thousands of people in the Gombe and Adamawa states of the country. Average to above-average rainfall is forecast for both regions during the middle of September.