Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook, October 1 – October 7, 2015

Map
from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Published on 30 Sep 2015

- Suppressed rainfall continues in the Gulf of Guinea region.

- Dryness worsens throughout parts of Ethiopia.

1) While a recent increase in August precipitation has led to more favorable ground moisture, a delayed onset and uneven rainfall distribution observed during the June-September season may negatively impact cropping and pastoral conditions in the region.

2) Poorly distributed rainfall has resulted in drought, which has severely impacted ground conditions and already led to livestock death across parts of north-central and eastern Ethiopia.

3) Below-average rainfall since August has led to a strengthening of moisture deficits throughout several provinces in southern South Sudan and northern Uganda. Below-average rainfall is expected in the region for the upcoming outlook period.

4) Below-average rainfall over several bimodal areas of Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, Togo, Benin, and Nigeria has led to a rapid strengthening of moisture deficits and a degradation of ground conditions. Suppressed precipitation is expected during in the region during late-September.