Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook August 6 – 12, 2015

Map
from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Published on 05 Aug 2015

Torrential rain caused flooding and fatalities in Conakry, Guinea.
Below-average rain has continued in north-central Ethiopia.

1) A premature cessation of rains for bimodal regions of southern Ghana, Togo, and Benin has led to increased moisture deficits and negative impacts. A delayed onset of the rainy season, followed by poorly-distributed rainfall has led to abnormal dryness across western and north-central Nigeria.

2) A delayed onset and general lack of rainfall has resulted in abnormal dryness across parts of central and eastern Sudan, northwestern portions of Ethiopia, and western Eritrea. The most impacted states in Sudan are Gadaref, Sennar, and Blue Nile, including important agricultural regions, where much planting is being delayed. In Ethiopia, a delay in any substantial rain is already negatively impacting vegetation over the eastern Amhara Province.

3) Infrequent and light rain since the beginning of the season has led to large rainfall deficits over portions of southern Chad. Affected regions include Batha, Biltine, and Ouaddai. A rainfall performance between 25-50 percent of normal thus far has led to low soil moisture and poor conditions for vegetation.

4) A slightly delayed start to the season has resulted in abnormal dryness for Gambia and central areas of Senegal. Dry ground conditions have reportedly led to delayed planting and negatively impacted the health of livestock.

5) Heavy downpours have caused flooding and fatalities in Conakry, Guinea during the past week. Torrential rain is forecast to continue during the next week, which could worsen conditions on the grounds.