Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook July 30 – August 5, 2015

Map
from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Published on 29 Jul 2015

Abnormally wet conditions are continuing for several nations in the western Gulf of Guinea region

Moisture deficits worsen further in southeast Sudan, Eritrea and parts of Ethiopia with a continued lack of rainfall.

  1. A premature cessation of rains for bimodal regions of southern Ghana, Togo, and Benin has led to increased moisture deficits and negative impacts. A delayed onset of the rainy season, followed by poorly-distributed rainfall, led to abnormal dryness across Burkina Faso, the central and northern parts of Ghana, Togo, and Benin, western and southern Niger, and northern Nigeria.

  2. A delayed onset and general lack of rainfall has resulted in abnormal dryness across northwestern portions of Ethiopia, western Eritrea, and eastern Sudan. The most impacted states in Sudan are Gadaref, Sinar, and Blue Nile, including important agricultural regions where much planting is being delayed. Additionally, a delay in any substantial rainfall for eastern Amhara Province in Ethiopia is already negatively impacting vegetation there

  3. Infrequent and light rains since the beginning of the season have led to insufficient rainfall totals to date for some southern portions of Chad. Affected regions include Batha, Biltine, and Ouaddai. A rainfall performance between 5 and 50% of normal thus far has led to low soil moisture and poor conditions for vegetation.

  4. A slightly delayed start to the season with only sporadic light rains in recent weeks has resulted in abnormal dryness for Gambia and central areas of Senegal. Dry ground conditions have reportedly led to delayed planting and negatively impacted the