Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook August 27 – September 2, 2015
Abundant rain has continued across a wide portion of West Africa.
Despite a recent increase in rain, seasonal deficits have persisted over parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.
1) Although an increase in rain has been observed over Eastern Africa during the past few weeks, seasonal deficits have persisted in south-central and eastern Sudan, western Eritrea, and northeastern Ethiopia due to the delayed onset and uneven rainfall distribution to the June-September season.
2) Despite recent increase in rainfall, the much delayed start to the rainfall season has resulted in drought, which has severely impacted ground conditions and already led to livestock death across parts of north-central and eastern Ethiopia.
3) Widespread, heavy rain during the past few weeks has caused flooding over localities of West Africa, including several states of Nigeria. Heavy rain is forecast to continue during the next week, which elevates risks for flooding over many alreadysaturated grounds of the sub-region.
4) Eastern Chad and western Sudan have received above-average rain over the past four weeks.
Abundant rain is expected to continue during the next week, heightening risks for localized flooding and potential waterborne disease outbreaks.