Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook August 20-26, 2015

from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Published on 19 Aug 2015

- Widespread heavy rain continues and increases risks for flooding over many areas of West Africa.

- Rainfall deficits have persisted over parts of Eastern Africa despite increased rain during the recent weeks

1) A premature cessation of rain has increased moisture deficits and negatively impacted crops in the southern parts of Ghana, Togo, and Benin. Limited rain is forecast along the Gulf of Guinea during the next week, likely to sustain moisture deficits.

2) A delayed onset and general lack of rainfall has resulted in abnormal dryness across parts of central and eastern Sudan, northern Ethiopia, and southern Eritrea. Moderate to locally heavy rain is expected along the Sudan-Eritrea-Ethiopia borders during the next week, which could help reduce deficits.

3) Despite some increase in rainfall over the past few weeks, the much delayed start to the rainfall season has resulted in drought, which has severely impacted ground conditions and already led to death in livestock across parts of north-central and eastern Ethiopia.

4) Widespread, heavy rain during the past few weeks has caused flooding over localities of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger. The forecast continued, heavy rain during the next week maintains elevated risks for flooding over many local areas of the region.

5) Abundant rain is forecast to continue over eastern Chad and western Sudan during the next week, heightening risks for flooding and potential waterborne disease outbreaks.