A young girl named Hani suffering from severe acute malnutrition has her middle upper arm circumference measured at a UNICEF-supported malnutrition screening in Mogadishu, Somalia, Thursday, April 6, 2017.
@ UNICEF/Mackenzie Knowles-Coursin
An estimated 3.1 million people, 25 percent of the population, are expected to be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or emergency (IPC Phase 4) through December.
The latest seasonal assessment shows over 2.9 million people face Crisis and Emergency (IPC Phases 3 & 4) across Somalia through June 2017, while more than 3.3 million people are classified as Stressed (IPC Phase 2).
In a worst-case scenario where the 2017 Gu season performs very poorly, purchasing power declines to levels seen in 2010/11, and aid is unable to reach populations in need, Famine (IPC Phase 5) would be expected.
Somalia’s food security crisis is expected to worsen following poor rains, shrinking humanitarian access, increasing malnutrition, conflict and surging food prices. A severe water shortage is also expected.
Humanitarian assistance, geared towards treatment of malnourished children, improved access to food, social safety nets and livelihood support is needed, at least, until the next Gu harvest in July-August.