Tropical Cyclone Mekunu - May 2018Ongoing
A new tropical storm has developed in the southwest Arabian Sea where it intensified yesterday evening into Cyclone Mekunu. The cyclone is moving currently north-northwest at a speed of 11 km/h. Mekunu is expected to continue moving in this direction during the remainder of this week and make landfall near Salalah, Oman on about Saturday 26 May. A major fluctuation in tropical weather over the southern Arabian Sea known as the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) is likely to cause Mekunu to strengthen further. As a result, heavy rains are forecasted for Socotra Island, followed by the southern Arabian coast from Sayhut in eastern Yemen to Salalah and Ash Shuwaymiyyah in southern Oman, which could cause local flooding and damage. (FAO, 23 May 2018)
The impact of cyclone ‘Mekunu’ on Yemen’s eastern mainland, after it had made landfall in the Sultanate of Oman on 26 May, has been limited. Minor damage has been reported to infrastructure in the districts of Hawf and Shahan of Al Maharah Governorate. Two ships reportedly sank in Al Gaydah and the cycolone damaged agricultural equipment. Meanwhile, assessments and relief efforts continue on the island of Socotra. On 27 May, [IFRC] reported that seven people have died and eight are still missing due to the cyclone...Local authorities and the Displacement Tracking Team led by the International Organization for Migration (DTM/IOM) have reported a total of 507 families being displaced in Hadibo and Qalansiyah. Communities living in Badahola have evacuated their areas as reportedly they have been surrounded by flood water. The majority of the affected population (90 per cent) are hosted in schools, with the rest staying in other government buildings...An inter-cluster assessment team is expected to travel to Socotra on 29 May with the support of UNHAS. (OCHA, 28 May 2018)
An inter-cluster mission led by OCHA visited Socotra from 29 May to 4 June to assess humanitarian needs in the aftermath of cyclone “Mekunu”. Steroh, Badhola and Zahiq, in the area of Nowgd (located on the southern part of the island) are the locations most affected by the cyclone which the team was able to visit. It is estimated that in these areas 90 per cent of the population are in urgent need of food, non-food items and WASH assistance. Local authorities have warned of an imminent hunger crisis, if no resources are mobilized, as approximately 90 per cent of the population in the assessed areas lost their food stocks to the cyclone and are unable to sustain themselves. (OCHA, 07 Jun 2018)
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Tropical Cyclone Mekunu is expected to hit Yemen and Oman next week
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Mekunu developed in the Arabian Sea and impacted Oman and Yemen as an extremely severe cyclonic storm. It followed less than a week after cyclone Sagar, which caused flash floods and casualties in Yemen, Somalia and Djibouti. Regular warnings from meteorological services and mobilization by disaster management authorities helped keep loss of life and property to a minimum.
Thursday, 24 May 2018 14:38 GMT
The storm is expected to hit southern Yemen and the coast of neighboring Oman on Thursday (Adds loss of communications, closure of Omani airport)
By Mohammed Mokhashaf
ADEN, May 24 (Reuters) - Yemen declared a state of emergency on the island of Socotra on Thursday as a tropical storm intensified after flooding several villages and capsizing boats to leave at least 17 people missing, government officials said.
Tropical Cyclone MEKUNU continued moving north-west over the Southwest Arabian Sea, strengthening. Its centre passed east of Socotra island (Yemen) and on 24 May at 0.00 UTC, it was located 440 km south-east of Salalah city (Oman) with maximum sustained winds of 148 km/h.
The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Mekunu’ over Westcentral & adjoining Southwest Arabian Sea moved further north-northwestwards with a speed of 11 Kmph during past 06 hours and lay centered at 1730 hrs IST of 24 th May 2018 over Westcentral & adjoining Southwest Arabian Sea near latitude 14.3 0N and longitude 55.2 0E, about 230 km north-northeast of Socotra Islands and 320 km south-southeast of Salalah (Oman).
JTWC Summary: TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02A (MEKUNU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 499 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MASIRAH ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION AND GOOD SYMMETRY AROUND AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY A 231714Z 89 GHZ AMSU MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWING BANDING WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH AND SOUTH AND A MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE. THE POSITION IS FURTHER SUPPORTED BY A 231716Z ASCAT IMAGE.
Very severe Cyclonic Storm Mekunu has formed in the Arabian Sea and is intensifiying on a path towards Oman and Yemen, It follows less than a week after cyclone Sagar, which caused flash floods and casualties in Yemen, Somalia and Djibouti. Meteorological services are issuing regular warnings in an effort to keep loss of life and property to a minimum.
The Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Mekunu’ over southwest Arabian Sea moved northwards with a speed of 11 Kmph during past 06 hours and intensified into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm and lay centered at 1430 hrs IST of 23 rd May 2018 over southwest and adjoining westcentral Arabian Sea near latitude 11.8 0N and longitude 55.9 0E, about 230 km southeast of Socotra Islands and 610 km south-southeast of Salalah (Oman). It is very likely to intensify further during next 24 hours.
Second cyclone develops in Arabian Sea & threatens Oman and Yemen
A new tropical storm has developed in the southwest Arabian Sea where it intensified yesterday evening into Cyclone Mekunu. The cyclone is moving currently north-northwest at a speed of 11 km/h. Mekunu is expected to continue moving in this direction during the remainder of this week and make landfall near Salalah, Oman on about Saturday 26 May.
Tropical Cyclone MEKUNU continued moving north-west over the Southwest Arabian Sea, strengthening. On 23 May at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located 240 km south-east of Socotra Island (Socotra Archipelago, Yemen) and had maximum sustained wind speed of 102 km/h.
Over the next 24 hours, it is forecast to continue moving toward northeastern Yemen and southwestern Oman, strengthening. Heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge may affect several areas of Socotra Archipelago, northeastern Somalia, northeastern Yemen and southwestern Oman over 23-28 May.
TIME OF ISSUE: 2030 HOURS IST
Tropical Storm expected to cause moderate rains and winds of medium strength along the coastline areas of Bari region in Puntland
A tropical storm has developed in the northern Indian Ocean and is expected to make a land fall in Oman in 3 to 4 days. The storm poses an immediate threat to the shipping lane that links Somalia and Gulf states. Further, it may affect the coastal areas of Bari Region in Puntland in the next 24 to 48 hours.