Tropical Cyclone Ava - Jan 2018
Madagascar is on alert following the identification of a low weather pressure system off the north-east coast of the country, which is expected to strengthen in the southwestern Indian Ocean basin. The weather system is already causing weather disturbances in northern Madagascar and on the islands of Réunion and Mauritius. It is expected to gain strength during the week as it tracks westward, prior to making landfall on Madagascar on 4 or 5 January 2018 (OCHA, 3 Jan 2018)
Tropical Cyclone AVA reached Madagascar’s northeast coast in the afternoon of 5 January. Heavy rains associated with AVA have been recorded in the north, north-east and east of the country since 3 January. Rising water levels have been observed in the Alaotra Mangoro and Analanjirofo regions, while flooding, interruptions to communications networks and power cuts have been reported in Fokontany Ambinany (Soanierana Ivongo). Preventive evacuations began in Brickaville on 4 January. The Malagasy authorities have issued a red alert (imminent threat) for the regions of Analanjirofo, Atsinanana and Alaotra Mangoro for 4 to 5 January, and Vatovavy Fitovinany for 5 to 6 January. In addition, several districts remain on yellow and green alert.(OCHA, 5 Jan 2018)
Tropical cyclone AVA continued moving south along the eastern coast of the country as Tropical Storm. On 8 January at 0.00 UTC its centre was located off the eastern coast of Madagascar, 200 km north-east of Taolagnaro city (Madagascar) and 800 km south-west of La Reunion island, and it had maximum sustained winds speed of 74 km/h (Tropical Storm). Over the next 24 hours, it is forecast to keep moving, heading south away from Madagascar and weakening. Heavy rain, strong winds and a storm surge could still affect southern and eastern regions of Madagascar. (ECHO, 8 Jan 2018)
According to the Malagasy authorities, as of 9 January, about 123,000 people had been directly or indirectly impacted by Tropical Cyclone Ava, with 24,800 people evacuated, 33 dead and 22 missing.
The cyclone damaged 19 health centres and affected 141 schools, including 77 classrooms used as shelter for displaced people. About 34,640 children are out of school.
Road access to some south-eastern and southwestern parts of the country has been cut off. River levels have started to moderately decrease in Antananarivo and in the south-eastern coast.
However, evacuated people are still staying in several temporary sites. Remaining displaced people are mainly in Antananarivo and in the south-eastern coast; while almost all displaced people in Brickaville and Toamasina have already returned to their homes. It is common that the number of displaced people reduces in the days following a cyclone, as people return home if there are no floods or landslide threat. (OCHA, 8 Jan 2018)
Maps & Infographics
Madagascar routinely faces a number of humanitarian challenges, including recurring natural disasters, disease outbreaks, banditry, pest infestations and acute food insecurity. According to the UN, 90 percent of people in Madagascar live below the international poverty line and more than 50 percent of children under the age of 5 are chronically malnourished.
Tiana Mahefasoa Randrianalijaona, Director of the Multidisciplinary Disaster and Risk Management Master’s programme, Université d’Antananarivo
La Forte Tempête Tropicale Eliakim, la 5eme de l’actuelle saison cyclonique, a atterrit le 16 mars à 09h00 locale au niveau du Cap Masoala, restait pendant presque 24 heures dans le district de Maroantsetra avant de sortir en mer le 18 mars au niveau du district de Vatomamdry.
Le nord-ouest, le nord et surtout les nord-est du pays ont été directement affectés, avant le passage d’Eliakim, ces zones ont déjà reçu jusqu'à 400% de précipitations par rapport à la normale saisonnière.
Southwestern Madagascar continues to feel effects of dryness
Cyclone Eliakim passed along the eastern coast of Madagascar in mid-March, damaging clove crops in Analanjirofo region during their flowering stage. Vanilla was less affected. Some severe flooding was reported by OCHA in ricefields in Maroantsetra, and less severe flooding in Mandritsara and Ambilobe.
Episcopal Relief & Development is working with the Anglican Alliance and the the Diocese of Fianarantsoa to provide critical emergency support in Madagascar after the devastation of Tropical Cyclone Ava in early January.
The island was hit by torrential rains, floods and mudslides which destroyed dozens of homes and farms. Over 50 deaths were reported and more than 17,000 people were displaced.
Rainfall deficits in southwestern Madagascar and flooding in southeastern Madagascar disrupt agriculture
• The northern half of Madagascar received above average rainfall during the 2017/2018 rainy season 2017/2018 but the southern half received below average rainfall. A deficit was particularly seen in the southwest, including the Tsiribihini Delta production area that is a major food supplier to southern Madagascar, which received only 55 percent of average rainfall between October 2017 and February 2018.
WFP is implementing resilience strengthening activities in 16 targeted communes of the South and South East, where the food security situation has improved.
Nutritional support and school feeding programmes are also implemented in those communes, for higher impact.
Given that the 2017/2018 cyclone season is reported to be highly active, WFP is enhancing its emergency preparedness measures. WFP has provided emergency food assistance to 11,790 households displaced following cyclone AVA.
• Overall humanitarian needs decrease as Southern Africa recovers from 2015/2016 El Niño-related drought conditions
• Tropical Cyclone Ava results in more than 50 deaths in Madagascar
• Recent analyses project mixed food security outcomes across Southern Africa through mid-2018
Main season rice was damaged by Cyclone AVA in the Southern Highlands and Southeastern Madagascar
Dry conditions intensified in the southern half of the region, threatening production prospects in several areas. Abnormally high temperatures accompanied these dry conditions. Short term rainfall forecasts suggest little respite in the near-term.
Good rains were received in the northern half of the region, promoting good crop conditions.
A cyclone made landfall in Madagascar, causing fatalities, displacement of populations, damage to infrastructure and flooding of thousands of hectares planted to rice.
L’aide humanitaire d’urgence, octroyée sur Très Hautes Instructions de Sa Majesté le Roi Mohammed VI par le Maroc à la République de Madagascar suite au cyclone Ava qui a frappé récemment ce pays frère, est arrivée samedi à Antananarivo.
Acheminée à Madagascar à bord de deux avions des Forces Royales Air, cette aide humanitaire de 30 tonnes composée de tentes, de couvertures et de produits alimentaires de première nécessité, a été remise aux autorités malgaches par l’ambassadeur du Maroc à Madagascar, M. Mohamed Benjilany.
As many as 790,000 people were displaced between 16 and 28 December in Regions V, VI, VII, VIII, XIII and MIMAROPA due to Tropical Storm Urduja/Kai-Tak which made landfall in the Philippines on 12 December and exited on 19 December. A total of 418,000 people stayed in evacuation centres, while 372,000 people stayed with families and friends. As of 28 December, all evacuees had returned home (DROMIC, 4 Jan 2018).
Ce rapport est publié par le Bureau National de Gestion des Risques des Catastrophes (BNGRC) et l'Equipe Humanitaire de Madagascar. Il couvre la période allant du 06 au 15 Janvier 2018.
Le cyclone Tropical Ava a atterri le 05 janvier à 12h40 à Toamasina ville. C’est la première fois qu’un premier cyclone de la saison cyclonique touche directement le pays et tous les secteurs humanitaires ont dû mobiliser plus précocement leurs stocks d’urgence disponibles (carte en annexe).
In the afternoon of Friday the 5 January 2018, the region of Atsinanana in Madagascar, was affected by the tropical cyclone Ava with a maximum wind speed of 150 kph alternated by gusts of 205 km/h in a radius of 37 km around its center. The tropical storm hit the Island country off South-eastern on Friday and Saturday killing at least 29 people nationwide and forcing more than 17,000 from their homes. According to the Statement from the National Bureau for Risk and Catastrophe Management or BNGRC, 22 people are still missing. Overall, Ava affected more than 83,000 people.
More than 54,000 people were displaced by the cyclone which struck with with wind speeds of up to 190 kph
ANTANANARIVO, Jan 15 (Reuters) - The death toll from a cyclone that hit Madagascar about 10 days ago has risen to 51, with another 22 people reported missing, authorities said on Sunday.
Read more on Reuters.
BERGUITTA s’est intensifiée et est actuellement au stade de Forte Tempête Tropicale. A 10 heures locales, son centre est localisé à 1445 km au large de Toamasina. Il est probable qu’elle montera au stade de Cyclone mature dans les prochaines heures. La force du vent est estimée à 110 km/h avec des rafales de 155 km/h à proximité de son centre. Il poursuit désormais son Cap vers le Nord-Ouest et ceci pour les 2 prochains jours à un rythme réduit de 06 à 10 km/h. D’après les éléments de prévision de ce matin, BERGUITTA ne touchera terre sur Madagascar.
Au cours de la semaine passée (08 au 14 Janvier), des cumuls de précipitations abondants (150 à 300 mm) ont été observés dans les districts de Nosy Be, Ambilobe, Ambanja, Analalava, Sainte Marie, Mahajanga I et II, et des cumuls de précipitations très abondants (300 à 400 mm) ont été observés dans le district d'Antsohihy.
Ce matin, une autre Perturbation Tropicale s’est formée dans le Nord du Canal de Mozambique. A 10 heures locales, son centre est positionné à 362 Km au Nord-Ouest de Besalampy. Il est probable qu’elle s’intensifie en Tempête Tropicale avant son atterrissage sur le Mozambique.
Sa présence n’engendrera pas de modification notable sur les conditions météorologiques dans le Nord du pays.
FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT
Cyclone Ava brings heavy rains to eastern regions in early 2018
Rice production in 2017 estimated at well belowaverage level mainly reflecting dry conditions in main-producing areas
Prices of rice in 2017 up on annual basis, mostly on account of tighter supplies
Moderate improvement in food security situation in southern regions, but conditions worsened in southeastern areas due to weather shocks
Heavy rains impact coastal regions in early 2018