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31 Mar 2017 description

Edward B. Rackley
31 March 2017

Executive Summary

  • Nigeria-origin radical Islamist group Boko Haram extended armed attacks into northern Cameroon in 2014 but was substantially beaten back by joint Cameroonian, Chadian and Nigerian armed forces in early 2015; thereafter, it has waged an asymmetric campaign of bombings, largely targeting civilians in urban areas.

01 Jul 2013 description

The recent military intervention in Mali has highlighted the growing links between marginalisation and the potential for large-scale political violence in West Africa. Over the past year, we have been warning about the danger of thinking that what is a fundamentally political problem in Mali can be solved by military means.

29 Jan 2013 description

Summary

The war in Mali and the recent attack in Algeria are being seen as the start of a new phase of the war on terror across North and West Africa - an existential threat that could last decades. This is a dangerous simplification of a much more complex problem and risks becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Context

22 Jan 2013 description

This article was originally published by Channel 4 News on 22 January 2013.

Britain is on standby and the US is already transporting French troops into Mali. But a new paper says the west is "betting on the wrong horse" by intervening in the region.

02 Jul 2012 description

Monthly Global Security Briefing – June 2012

By Paul Rogers

Background

Oxford Research Group’s April and May briefings covered the current status of the al-Qaida movement and a loosely related development, the growth of the radical Boko Haram Islamist group in northern Nigeria. The analysis may be summarised thus:

· Al-Qaida as a structured group has declined from its period of maximum activity in the 2001-2005 period.