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11 Nov 2017 description

Deyr rains performed poorly in October in southern Somalia, with increases in early November

KEY MESSAGES

  • The onset of the Deyr (October to December) season was significantly delayed over parts of southern and central Somalia by 20-30 days. Rainfall totals in October were less than 50 percent of average, following by increases in rainfall during the first 10 days of November. Seasonal performance has been better in neighboring areas Ethiopia, where rainfall has been average to above average.

28 Oct 2017 description

2,096,139* Total South Sudanese refugees in the region as of 30 Sept (pre and post Dec 2013 caseload)

637,455* South Sudanese refugee arrivals in 2017, based on field reports as of 30 September

279,160 Refugees in South Sudan and 1.87 million IDPs as of 30 September

Regional Highlights

28 Oct 2017 description

Moisture deficits continue to grow in eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Moisture deficits have grown in eastern Ethiopia, southern and central Somalia, and northeastern Kenya due to poor rainfall since late September. Over central and southern Somalia, a dry weather pattern is forecast, which could worsen conditions on the ground.
21 Oct 2017 description

Deyr rains perform poorly in early October in southern and central Somalia

KEY MESSAGES

  • The Deyr (October to December) season is delayed over southern and central Somalia, with rainfall totals less than 80 percent of average across many areas. In southeastern Ethiopia, rainfall has been average to slightly above average, but concentrated within 1-2 days of rainfall.

20 Oct 2017 description

Moisture deficits in the Greater Horn of Africa could indicate delayed onset of seasonal rains

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poorly-distributed rainfall during August and early September has delayed crop development over parts of southern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana. Below-average rain is forecast next week, which further reduces the chance for recovery.

12 Oct 2017 description

Despite average rainfall over East Africa, risk of flooding remains high in Sudan and Ethiopia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. and below-normal rainfall in August and early September has produced moderate to large moisture deficits in parts of southern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana.

  2. Below-average rain over the past three months has resulted in poor ground conditions in the Western Cape province of South Africa.

05 Oct 2017 description

Below-average rain recorded in West Africa, while above-average rain persists over Eastern Africa

  1. Inconsistent and below-normal rainfall since mid-August has increased moisture deficits and led to abnormal dryness for parts of southern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana.

  2. Recent heavy rains have caused the Niger and Benue Rivers in Nigeria to flood. Reports indicate that 100,000 people were displaced by flooding and many crops have been destroyed. Continued rain will keep rivers high.

29 Sep 2017 description

Rainfall decreases in West Africa, while heavy rains continue in East Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Inconsistent and below-normal rainfall since mid-August has increased moisture deficits and led to abnormal dryness for parts of southern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana.

  2. Recent heavy rains have caused the Niger and Benue Rivers in Nigeria to flood. Reports indicate that 100,000 people were displaced by flooding and many crops have been destroyed. Continued rain will keep rivers high.

28 Sep 2017 description

Key Messages
- Rainfall was above average during September over much of Sudan, northeastern South Sudan, and the western and central highlands of Ethiopia, which has generally been the case since the start of the season in June. In Sudan, localized areas are expected to face below average production due to mid-season dryness and severe flooding, while Fall Armyworm remains a concern in some areas of Ethiopia.