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01 Dec 2017 description

*Despite improvement in early season rainfall, Southern Africa continues to report moisture deficit *

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Above-average seasonal rainfall during early November has helped to alleviate early season moisture deficits across Somalia and eastern Kenya.
    However, dryness remains in parts of the northern Somali region of eastern Ethiopia. Moisture recovery is unlikely in the northern region, as seasonal rains are expected to be concentrated towards the south through November.

28 Nov 2017 description

HIGHLIGHTS

• Food security in Somalia deteriorated between August and October due to ongoing conflict and drought conditions

• USAID partners in Kenya remain prepared to respond to civil unrest following the country’s repeat election in October

• Nearly 40 percent of the approximately 578,000 IDPs in Ethiopia’s Oromiya Region lack adequate shelter

KEY DEVELOPMENTS

18 Nov 2017 description

Continued heavy rains in November bring relief to dryness in East Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since late October, above-average rainfall has mitigated moisture deficits across Somalia and eastern Kenya. However, dryness remains in parts of the northern Somali region of eastern Ethiopia.
  2. Below-average rainfall since mid-October have resulted in considerable moisture deficits across parts of the Free State, Gauteng, and Mpumalanga regions of South Africa and in Lesotho and Swaziland.
11 Nov 2017 description

Deyr rains performed poorly in October in southern Somalia, with increases in early November

KEY MESSAGES

  • The onset of the Deyr (October to December) season was significantly delayed over parts of southern and central Somalia by 20-30 days. Rainfall totals in October were less than 50 percent of average, following by increases in rainfall during the first 10 days of November. Seasonal performance has been better in neighboring areas Ethiopia, where rainfall has been average to above average.

09 Nov 2017 description

Despite a recent improvement in seasonal rainfall, dryness remains in Somalia, Kenya, and Ethiopia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Increased seasonal rainfall was recorded in Somalia and northeastern Kenya, helping to mitigate early-season moisture deficits, although dryness remains. Average to above-average rainfall forecast in mid- November is expected to continue to provide relief to the region.

  2. Heavy rainfall continues to sustain the risk for flooding in southeastern Kenya and northeastern Tanzania.

28 Oct 2017 description

Moisture deficits continue to grow in eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Moisture deficits have grown in eastern Ethiopia, southern and central Somalia, and northeastern Kenya due to poor rainfall since late September. Over central and southern Somalia, a dry weather pattern is forecast, which could worsen conditions on the ground.
21 Oct 2017 description

Deyr rains perform poorly in early October in southern and central Somalia

KEY MESSAGES

  • The Deyr (October to December) season is delayed over southern and central Somalia, with rainfall totals less than 80 percent of average across many areas. In southeastern Ethiopia, rainfall has been average to slightly above average, but concentrated within 1-2 days of rainfall.

20 Oct 2017 description

Moisture deficits in the Greater Horn of Africa could indicate delayed onset of seasonal rains

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poorly-distributed rainfall during August and early September has delayed crop development over parts of southern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana. Below-average rain is forecast next week, which further reduces the chance for recovery.

13 Oct 2017 description

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Nearly one million people displaced in Somalia from January to August, more than 800,000 primarily due to drought conditions

  • Clashes in Ethiopia’s Oromiya and Somali regions displace populations, exacerbate humanitarian needs

  • USG provided more than $1 billion in humanitarian funding for the Horn of Africa regional response in FY 2017

KEY DEVELOPMENTS

12 Oct 2017 description

Despite average rainfall over East Africa, risk of flooding remains high in Sudan and Ethiopia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. and below-normal rainfall in August and early September has produced moderate to large moisture deficits in parts of southern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana.

  2. Below-average rain over the past three months has resulted in poor ground conditions in the Western Cape province of South Africa.

05 Oct 2017 description

Below-average rain recorded in West Africa, while above-average rain persists over Eastern Africa

  1. Inconsistent and below-normal rainfall since mid-August has increased moisture deficits and led to abnormal dryness for parts of southern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana.

  2. Recent heavy rains have caused the Niger and Benue Rivers in Nigeria to flood. Reports indicate that 100,000 people were displaced by flooding and many crops have been destroyed. Continued rain will keep rivers high.

28 Sep 2017 description

Key Messages
- Rainfall was above average during September over much of Sudan, northeastern South Sudan, and the western and central highlands of Ethiopia, which has generally been the case since the start of the season in June. In Sudan, localized areas are expected to face below average production due to mid-season dryness and severe flooding, while Fall Armyworm remains a concern in some areas of Ethiopia.