27 entries found
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31 Dec 2016 description

Pastoral conditions deteriorate following very poor seasonal performance in southeastern areas

KEY MESSAGES

10 Nov 2016 description

Crisis (IPC Phase 3) expected in parts of Oromia, SNNPR, and southern pastoral areas

Key Messages

  • Meher harvests starting in October are significantly reducing the number of people in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse. However, poor Kiremt rainfall in eastern and central Oromia and SNNPR, low livestock holdings in pastoral southern Afar and Shinile, and expected poor performance of October to December rainfall in southern pastoral areas are likely to lead to above-average food assistance needs in 2016/17.

29 Oct 2016 description

Start of seasonal rainfall delayed over parts of Eastern Horn of Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rainfall since late September has increased moisture deficits and worsened ground conditions across eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, and southeastern Ethiopia.

  2. Below-average rainfall since late September has strengthened moisture deficits and led to abnormal dryness in north-central Angola and southeastern Democratic Republic of Congo.

15 Oct 2016 description

KEY MESSAGES

• Since mid-September, Uganda, eastern DRC, and southeastern South Sudan received above normal rainfall amounts, which helped ease prolonged dryness.

• In central and southern Ethiopia, particularly in SNNPR and central and eastern Oromia, below-average seasonal rains have persisted.

This has resulted in poor cropping conditions in these areas.

03 Oct 2016 description

Crop losses likely significant in parts of eastern and central Oromia and SNNPR

Key Messages

16 Sep 2016 description

Abnormal dryness within East Africa and elevated river levels along the Niger River in Nigeria

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. A prolonged period of heavy rainfall has triggered flooding and inundation along the Niger River in Nigeria and Niger. As the river slowly drains, stream flow should remain high through early September.

  2. Low and poorly distributed seasonal rainfall across parts of central Senegal have led to strengthening moisture deficits.

10 Sep 2016 description

Key Messages

Rainfall has remained persistently above average in Sudan, western and northern Ethiopia and western South Sudan since mid-August, leading to a continuation of good cropping and livestock conditions, but also flooding in localized areas.

In central and southern Ethiopia, southeastern South Sudan, and much of Uganda, rainfall has been below average since mid-August. Seasonal rainfall deficits, particularly in SNNPR and central and eastern Oromia in Ethiopia, are leading to prospects for belowpaverage crop production in some areas.

09 Sep 2016 description

Flooding risks remain in East and West Africa, while rainfall deficits increase in Ethiopia and Uganda

About Weather Hazards

The Global Weather Hazards report anticipates severe weather or climate events in Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Central Asia. This product provides maps with current weather and climate information; short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week); and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. It does not reflect long range forecasts or food security conditions.

04 Sep 2016 description

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Persistent, above average rainfall since July has led to excessively rainfall surpluses and floods that have damaged infrastructure, displaced populations, and caused fatalities in parts of Sudan, South Sudan, and Ethiopia.
  2. Below-average seasonal rainfall and persistent moisture deficits in the region have negatively impacted developing crops across parts of eastern Oromia and SNNPR in Ethiopia.
  3. There is a potential for increased number of locusts migrating from the Arabian Peninsula which may negatively impact cropping …
20 Aug 2016 description
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Above-average rains remain favorable to cropping in northern areas, but flooding risks remain

KEY MESSAGES

  • Total rainfall since mid-July has been above average in most northern areas of East Africa, including most of Sudan, western and northern Ethiopia, South Sudan, Djibouti, and Yemen, and is contributing to mostly favorable cropping and rangeland conditions.

19 Aug 2016 description

Heavy rains expected to further increase risk of flooding in West and East Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. The persistence of above-average rainfall continues to increase both short-term and long-term rainfall surpluses and trigger flooding throughout many areas in Sudan, South Sudan and western Ethiopia. Above-average rainfall is forecast to continue over the region, further worsening the potential for flooding over many downstream areas of eastern Sudan during the next week.

06 Aug 2016 description

The passage of Tropical Storm EARL expected to partially mitigate dryness over Central America

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Consistent and aboveaverage rain over the past few weeks has led to moisture surpluses throughout much of Eastern Africa. Torrential rain is forecast to continue over western Sudan and the highlands of Ethiopia and Eritrea, likely to elevate the River Nile and Al Gash River levels further and potentially resulting in flooding over many areas of Sudan during the next week.

30 Jul 2016 description

Above-average rainfall since June favors cropping, but flooding risks remain high

Key Messages

  • More than 10 million people require emergency food assistance in 2016, following El Niño-induced drought in 2015. Worst-affected areas include Wag Himra, East and West Hararghe, and pastoral areas in Shinile and southern Afar, where Crisis (IPC Phase 3!) outcomes will continue through September. Continued, regular assistance is essential in order to mitigate food consumption gaps.

29 Jul 2016 description
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Heavy rains may lead to flooding in East and West Africa, dryness persists in Central America

  1. Consistent and above average rain over the past few weeks has led to moisture surpluses throughout much of Eastern Africa. Torrential rain is forecast to continue over western Sudan and the highlands of Ethiopia and Eritrea, which is likely to raise the River Nile and Al Gash River levels further and potentially result in flooding over many areas of Sudan during the next week.

15 Jul 2016 description

Poor seasonal progress reduces harvest prospects for Gu and Belg crops in Somalia, Ethiopia

Key Messages

09 Jul 2016 description

Slight relief to dryness possible over some parts of Guatemala and Honduras

Africa Weather Hazards

Above-average rain fell over the far western West Africa and many parts of the Sahel.

Abundant rain expected in western Ethiopia during the next week.

01 Jul 2016 description

Little relief to dryness expected over Guatemala and Honduras

Africa Weather Hazards

02 Jun 2016 description

Kiremt rainfall likely to be at least average, with increased risk of flooding in some areas

Key Messages

27 May 2016 description

Reduced rainfall expected to alleviate flooding concerns in the Shabelle River basin

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Despite more favorable rainfall along the coast during the last week, low and poorly-distributed rainfall during April and May has led to moderate moisture deficits over Liberia, portions of eastern Guinea Conakry, Cote d’Ivoire, and western Ghana.