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29 Oct 2016 description

Start of seasonal rainfall delayed over parts of Eastern Horn of Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rainfall since late September has increased moisture deficits and worsened ground conditions across eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, and southeastern Ethiopia.

  2. Below-average rainfall since late September has strengthened moisture deficits and led to abnormal dryness in north-central Angola and southeastern Democratic Republic of Congo.

26 Oct 2016 description

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This report has been developed collectively with humanitarian partners in the region to inform preparedness and advocacy efforts to mitigate and manage humanitarian risk in the Horn of Africa and Great Lakes region. It presents a four-month trend analysis from June to September 2016 and a humanitarian outlook from October to December 2016. It is the fifth report in the series and updates the previous scenario report which was published in April 2016.

15 Oct 2016 description

KEY MESSAGES

• Since mid-September, Uganda, eastern DRC, and southeastern South Sudan received above normal rainfall amounts, which helped ease prolonged dryness.

• In central and southern Ethiopia, particularly in SNNPR and central and eastern Oromia, below-average seasonal rains have persisted.

This has resulted in poor cropping conditions in these areas.

16 Sep 2016 description

Abnormal dryness within East Africa and elevated river levels along the Niger River in Nigeria

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. A prolonged period of heavy rainfall has triggered flooding and inundation along the Niger River in Nigeria and Niger. As the river slowly drains, stream flow should remain high through early September.

  2. Low and poorly distributed seasonal rainfall across parts of central Senegal have led to strengthening moisture deficits.

10 Sep 2016 description

Key Messages

Rainfall has remained persistently above average in Sudan, western and northern Ethiopia and western South Sudan since mid-August, leading to a continuation of good cropping and livestock conditions, but also flooding in localized areas.

In central and southern Ethiopia, southeastern South Sudan, and much of Uganda, rainfall has been below average since mid-August. Seasonal rainfall deficits, particularly in SNNPR and central and eastern Oromia in Ethiopia, are leading to prospects for belowpaverage crop production in some areas.

09 Sep 2016 description

Flooding risks remain in East and West Africa, while rainfall deficits increase in Ethiopia and Uganda

About Weather Hazards

The Global Weather Hazards report anticipates severe weather or climate events in Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Central Asia. This product provides maps with current weather and climate information; short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week); and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. It does not reflect long range forecasts or food security conditions.

04 Sep 2016 description

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Persistent, above average rainfall since July has led to excessively rainfall surpluses and floods that have damaged infrastructure, displaced populations, and caused fatalities in parts of Sudan, South Sudan, and Ethiopia.
  2. Below-average seasonal rainfall and persistent moisture deficits in the region have negatively impacted developing crops across parts of eastern Oromia and SNNPR in Ethiopia.
  3. There is a potential for increased number of locusts migrating from the Arabian Peninsula which may negatively impact cropping …
23 Aug 2016 description

KEY FIGURES

94,693*
South Sudanese arrivals since 8 July 2016, based on field reports (as of 14 Aug)

947,383*
Total South Sudanese refugees as of 14 Aug (both pre and post Dec 2013 caseload and new arrivals)

973,000
Total South Sudanese expected by 31 December 2016 (RRP Planning Figure)

259,796
Refugees in South Sudan

1.61 M
Internally Displaced People (IDPs) in South Sudan

FUNDING (as of 02 August)

20 Aug 2016 description
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Above-average rains remain favorable to cropping in northern areas, but flooding risks remain

KEY MESSAGES

  • Total rainfall since mid-July has been above average in most northern areas of East Africa, including most of Sudan, western and northern Ethiopia, South Sudan, Djibouti, and Yemen, and is contributing to mostly favorable cropping and rangeland conditions.

19 Aug 2016 description
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Background

  1. The African Public Health Emergency Fund (APHEF or the Fund) was established by the Regional Committee in 2012 with the aim of providing catalytic resources for initiating timely responses to public health emergencies. Ever since, commitments have been made at every subsequent Regional Committee session to improve the functionality of this solidarity fund.

19 Aug 2016 description

Heavy rains expected to further increase risk of flooding in West and East Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. The persistence of above-average rainfall continues to increase both short-term and long-term rainfall surpluses and trigger flooding throughout many areas in Sudan, South Sudan and western Ethiopia. Above-average rainfall is forecast to continue over the region, further worsening the potential for flooding over many downstream areas of eastern Sudan during the next week.

16 Aug 2016 description

What is La Niña?

La Niña is the cooling of sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific, which occurs roughly every three to five years, lasting from six to 24 months. On average, half of El Niño events are followed by a La Niña, which typically affects global climate patterns in the opposite way El Niño does. The intensity of the La Niña climatic phenomenon generally peaks between October and January

Purpose of this report

12 Aug 2016 description

KEY FIGURES

83,714 * South Sudanese arrivals since 8 July 2016, based on field reports

933,506* Total South Sudanese refugees as of 31 July (both pre Dec 2013 caseload and new arrivals)

973,000 Total South Sudanese expected by 31 December 2016 (RRP Planning Figure)

264,204 Refugees in South Sudan

1.61 M Internally Displaced People (IDPs) in South Sudan

FUNDING (as of 02 August)

USD 608.8 M Requested by UNHCR for the situation

HIGHLIGHTS

06 Aug 2016 description

The passage of Tropical Storm EARL expected to partially mitigate dryness over Central America

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Consistent and aboveaverage rain over the past few weeks has led to moisture surpluses throughout much of Eastern Africa. Torrential rain is forecast to continue over western Sudan and the highlands of Ethiopia and Eritrea, likely to elevate the River Nile and Al Gash River levels further and potentially resulting in flooding over many areas of Sudan during the next week.

29 Jul 2016 description
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Heavy rains may lead to flooding in East and West Africa, dryness persists in Central America

  1. Consistent and above average rain over the past few weeks has led to moisture surpluses throughout much of Eastern Africa. Torrential rain is forecast to continue over western Sudan and the highlands of Ethiopia and Eritrea, which is likely to raise the River Nile and Al Gash River levels further and potentially result in flooding over many areas of Sudan during the next week.

15 Jul 2016 description

Poor seasonal progress reduces harvest prospects for Gu and Belg crops in Somalia, Ethiopia

Key Messages

09 Jul 2016 description

Slight relief to dryness possible over some parts of Guatemala and Honduras

Africa Weather Hazards

Above-average rain fell over the far western West Africa and many parts of the Sahel.

Abundant rain expected in western Ethiopia during the next week.

06 Jul 2016 description

Plus de 60 millions de personnes sont déjà affectées par El Niño et davantage seront probablement très vulnérables aux répercussions de La Niña

6 juillet 2016, Rome - Les gouvernements et la communauté internationale doivent intensifier leurs efforts pour mettre fin à la souffrance des populations, renforcer la résilience et protéger les moyens d'existence suite aux effets dévastateurs du phénomène El Niño dans le monde entier, ont déclaré aujourd'hui les Chefs des agences des Nations Unies basées à Rome.