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26 Oct 2016 description

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This report has been developed collectively with humanitarian partners in the region to inform preparedness and advocacy efforts to mitigate and manage humanitarian risk in the Horn of Africa and Great Lakes region. It presents a four-month trend analysis from June to September 2016 and a humanitarian outlook from October to December 2016. It is the fifth report in the series and updates the previous scenario report which was published in April 2016.

15 Oct 2016 description

KEY MESSAGES

• Since mid-September, Uganda, eastern DRC, and southeastern South Sudan received above normal rainfall amounts, which helped ease prolonged dryness.

• In central and southern Ethiopia, particularly in SNNPR and central and eastern Oromia, below-average seasonal rains have persisted.

This has resulted in poor cropping conditions in these areas.

20 Aug 2016 description
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Above-average rains remain favorable to cropping in northern areas, but flooding risks remain

KEY MESSAGES

  • Total rainfall since mid-July has been above average in most northern areas of East Africa, including most of Sudan, western and northern Ethiopia, South Sudan, Djibouti, and Yemen, and is contributing to mostly favorable cropping and rangeland conditions.

19 Aug 2016 description
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Background

  1. The African Public Health Emergency Fund (APHEF or the Fund) was established by the Regional Committee in 2012 with the aim of providing catalytic resources for initiating timely responses to public health emergencies. Ever since, commitments have been made at every subsequent Regional Committee session to improve the functionality of this solidarity fund.

15 Jul 2016 description

Poor seasonal progress reduces harvest prospects for Gu and Belg crops in Somalia, Ethiopia

Key Messages

27 May 2016 description

Reduced rainfall expected to alleviate flooding concerns in the Shabelle River basin

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Despite more favorable rainfall along the coast during the last week, low and poorly-distributed rainfall during April and May has led to moderate moisture deficits over Liberia, portions of eastern Guinea Conakry, Cote d’Ivoire, and western Ghana.

21 May 2016 description

Rainfall deficits continue to increase in the Gulf of Guinea region

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poorly-distributed rainfall since October 2015 has resulted in large moisture deficits, leading to wilted crops, livestock deaths, and reduced water availability over many areas of Southern Africa. With the season coming to an end, recovery is unlikely.

13 May 2016 description

Elevated risks of flooding in Central Asia, Hispaniola, and the Greater Horn of Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poorly-distributed rainfall since October 2015 has resulted in large moisture deficits, leading to wilted crops, livestock deaths, and reduced water availability over many areas of Southern Africa. With the season coming to an end, recovery is unlikely.

06 May 2016 description

Increased rainfall providing some relief to early season dryness in Guatemala and the Greater Horn

  1. Poorly-distributed rainfall since October 2015 has resulted in large moisture deficits, leading to wilted crops, livestock deaths, and reduced water availability over many areas of Southern Africa. With the season coming to an end, recovery is unlikely.

30 Apr 2016 description
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Dry conditions developing in the Gulf of Guinea region and northern Hispaniola

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poorly-distributed rainfall since O ctober 2015 has resulted in large moisture deficits, leading to wilted crops, livestock deaths, and reduced water availability over many areas of Southern Africa. With the season coming to an end, recovery is unlikely.

15 Apr 2016 description

Increased rainfall forecast for dry areas in Guatemala and the Greater Horn of Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

08 Apr 2016 description

Early season dryness developing in parts of Guatemala

The Global Weather Hazards report anticipates severe weather or climate events in Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Central Asia. This product provides maps with current weather and climate information; short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week); and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. It does not reflect long range forecasts or food security conditions.