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25 Feb 2017 description

Facts & Figures In 2017:

5.6 million people in need of food assistance

3.9 million people in need of water trucking

3 million acutely malnourished children & women including 300 000 children suffering from severe acute malnutrition

1.9 million households need support to keep livestock alive

Almost 10% of the population chronically vulnerable to food insecurity

(source: UNOCHA)

26 Jan 2017 description

The 2015-2016 El Niño phenomenon has been one of the strongest on record, affecting deeply the lives and livelihoods of more than 60 million people across 40 countries. It has devastated crops and killed livestock, in some cases dried up water-sources in others caused massive flooding, driven up malnutrition rates, increased disease outbreaks and caused significant migration.

29 Oct 2016 description

Start of seasonal rainfall delayed over parts of Eastern Horn of Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rainfall since late September has increased moisture deficits and worsened ground conditions across eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, and southeastern Ethiopia.

  2. Below-average rainfall since late September has strengthened moisture deficits and led to abnormal dryness in north-central Angola and southeastern Democratic Republic of Congo.

26 Oct 2016 description

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This report has been developed collectively with humanitarian partners in the region to inform preparedness and advocacy efforts to mitigate and manage humanitarian risk in the Horn of Africa and Great Lakes region. It presents a four-month trend analysis from June to September 2016 and a humanitarian outlook from October to December 2016. It is the fifth report in the series and updates the previous scenario report which was published in April 2016.

15 Oct 2016 description

KEY MESSAGES

• Since mid-September, Uganda, eastern DRC, and southeastern South Sudan received above normal rainfall amounts, which helped ease prolonged dryness.

• In central and southern Ethiopia, particularly in SNNPR and central and eastern Oromia, below-average seasonal rains have persisted.

This has resulted in poor cropping conditions in these areas.

16 Sep 2016 description

This update is based on internal displacement figures made available to IDMC across 16 countries from January-August 2016. These figures will be updated and expanded upon regularly and can be accessed via IDMC’s Global Internal Displacement Database (GIDD) which can be viewed at http://www.internal-displacement.org/database.

15 Sep 2016 description

FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  • Slightly below average production of 2016 secondary “belg” season crops
  • Favourable prospects for 2016 main “meher” season crops
  • Cereal prices are generally at high levels
  • Number of people in need of assistance slightly declines, but food insecurity remains high

Production of 2016 secondary “belg” crops slightly below average

10 Sep 2016 description

Key Messages

Rainfall has remained persistently above average in Sudan, western and northern Ethiopia and western South Sudan since mid-August, leading to a continuation of good cropping and livestock conditions, but also flooding in localized areas.

In central and southern Ethiopia, southeastern South Sudan, and much of Uganda, rainfall has been below average since mid-August. Seasonal rainfall deficits, particularly in SNNPR and central and eastern Oromia in Ethiopia, are leading to prospects for belowpaverage crop production in some areas.

09 Sep 2016 description

Flooding risks remain in East and West Africa, while rainfall deficits increase in Ethiopia and Uganda

About Weather Hazards

The Global Weather Hazards report anticipates severe weather or climate events in Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Central Asia. This product provides maps with current weather and climate information; short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week); and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions. It does not reflect long range forecasts or food security conditions.

04 Sep 2016 description

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Persistent, above average rainfall since July has led to excessively rainfall surpluses and floods that have damaged infrastructure, displaced populations, and caused fatalities in parts of Sudan, South Sudan, and Ethiopia.
  2. Below-average seasonal rainfall and persistent moisture deficits in the region have negatively impacted developing crops across parts of eastern Oromia and SNNPR in Ethiopia.
  3. There is a potential for increased number of locusts migrating from the Arabian Peninsula which may negatively impact cropping …
23 Aug 2016 description

KEY FIGURES

94,693*
South Sudanese arrivals since 8 July 2016, based on field reports (as of 14 Aug)

947,383*
Total South Sudanese refugees as of 14 Aug (both pre and post Dec 2013 caseload and new arrivals)

973,000
Total South Sudanese expected by 31 December 2016 (RRP Planning Figure)

259,796
Refugees in South Sudan

1.61 M
Internally Displaced People (IDPs) in South Sudan

FUNDING (as of 02 August)

20 Aug 2016 description
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Above-average rains remain favorable to cropping in northern areas, but flooding risks remain

KEY MESSAGES

  • Total rainfall since mid-July has been above average in most northern areas of East Africa, including most of Sudan, western and northern Ethiopia, South Sudan, Djibouti, and Yemen, and is contributing to mostly favorable cropping and rangeland conditions.

19 Aug 2016 description

Heavy rains expected to further increase risk of flooding in West and East Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. The persistence of above-average rainfall continues to increase both short-term and long-term rainfall surpluses and trigger flooding throughout many areas in Sudan, South Sudan and western Ethiopia. Above-average rainfall is forecast to continue over the region, further worsening the potential for flooding over many downstream areas of eastern Sudan during the next week.

16 Aug 2016 description

What is La Niña?

La Niña is the cooling of sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific, which occurs roughly every three to five years, lasting from six to 24 months. On average, half of El Niño events are followed by a La Niña, which typically affects global climate patterns in the opposite way El Niño does. The intensity of the La Niña climatic phenomenon generally peaks between October and January

Purpose of this report

12 Aug 2016 description

KEY FIGURES

83,714 * South Sudanese arrivals since 8 July 2016, based on field reports

933,506* Total South Sudanese refugees as of 31 July (both pre Dec 2013 caseload and new arrivals)

973,000 Total South Sudanese expected by 31 December 2016 (RRP Planning Figure)

264,204 Refugees in South Sudan

1.61 M Internally Displaced People (IDPs) in South Sudan

FUNDING (as of 02 August)

USD 608.8 M Requested by UNHCR for the situation

HIGHLIGHTS

06 Aug 2016 description

The passage of Tropical Storm EARL expected to partially mitigate dryness over Central America

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Consistent and aboveaverage rain over the past few weeks has led to moisture surpluses throughout much of Eastern Africa. Torrential rain is forecast to continue over western Sudan and the highlands of Ethiopia and Eritrea, likely to elevate the River Nile and Al Gash River levels further and potentially resulting in flooding over many areas of Sudan during the next week.