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07 Dec 2015 description

Globally, millions of vulnerable households are at risk of increased hunger and poverty due to droughts and floods as a result of a climatic occurrence: El Niño. This phenomenon is not an individual weather event but a climate pattern which occurs every two to seven years and lasts 9-12 months. No two El Niño events are ever the same and it is thought that this particular occurrence could be the most powerful on record. The strongest El Niño in 1997/1998 killed some 21,000 people and caused damage to infrastructure worth US$ 36 billion.

26 Nov 2015 description

PROJECTED FOOD ASSISTANCE NEEDS FOR MAY 2016

18 Nov 2015 description

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Conflict and adverse climatic conditions continue to drive humanitarian needs in the region

  • Acute sectoral needs continue to be reported in Ethiopia

  • Flood preparedness in full swing as El Niño expected to cause serious flooding in the region

  • Civilian death tolls and human rights violations on the rise in Burundi

  • Urgent access needed to prevent food crisis in Unity State, South Sudan

Regional humanitarian outlook

13 Nov 2015 description

Elevated risks of flooding in Kenya, South Sudan, and Somalia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Persistent belowaverage rainfall since August over several areas of Ghana, Togo, and Benin has led to strong moisture deficits and a degradation of ground conditions. However, Increased rainfall since October has significantly improved ground conditions.

  2. Several consecutive weeks of above-average rainfall has increased the risk for flooding in the White Nile, Jonglei, and Eastern Equatorial provinces of South Sudan.

06 Nov 2015 description

Below-average early-season rainfall expected to continue in southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Persistently belowaverage rainfall since August over several bimodal areas of Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, Togo, Benin, and Nigeria has led to strong moisture deficits and a degradation of ground conditions. Increased rainfall since October has resulted in improved ground conditions in the region.

06 Nov 2015 description
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English version

Global Situation Assessment of El Niño-related Health Risks

WMO has confirmed reports that a mature and strong El Niño is present in the tropical Pacific Ocean. International climate models suggest that the 201 5/2016 El Niño will strengthen further before the end of 2015 and become one of the strong est El Niño events in the past twenty years.

27 Oct 2015 description

Flooding likely between October and December in eastern Horn of Africa

Summary

21 Aug 2015 description

Overview

The evolving El Niño, which currently has a probability of occurrence at above 90% and is likely to be the worst in 30 years, will exacerbate the current food and nutrition security situation. Parts of Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Somalia and Kenya are expected to experience severe flooding while other parts of the region will experience drought conditions.