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04 Jan 2019 description

This brief summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries. The projected size of each country’s acutely food insecure population (IPC Phase 3 and higher) is compared to last year and the recent five-year average and categorized as Higher, Similar, or Lower. Countries where external emergency food assistance needs are anticipated are identified. Projected lean season months highlighted in red indicate either an early start or an extension to the typical lean season.

06 Dec 2018 description

Abnormal dryness develops in Angola, Zambia, and Zimbabwe

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Delayed seasonal rainfall and erratic precipitation in the last two months has caused dryness across Ethiopia, southern Somalia, and Kenya.

  2. Poorly distributed precipitation since September and high daytime temperatures have caused early season drought in South Africa and Lesotho.

  3. Consecutive weeks of poor rainfall has caused dryness across central and western Madagascar.

30 Nov 2018 description

Key Messages
- In West Africa, October marked the beginning of the 2018/19 marketing season and market supplies are increasing from new harvests. Expected above-average crop production estimates are favoring release of stocks, further improving supplies. Prices have generally decreased from the previous month and 2017 levels but remain above average. Insecurity and conflict disrupt market activities in the Greater Lake Chad basin, Tibesti region, northern and central Mali, and the Liptako-Gourma region.

29 Nov 2018 description

Dry conditions persist in the Horn and southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Delayed seasonal rainfall and increased precipitation last month led to dryness in Ethiopia, southern Somalia and Kenya. Dryness is expected to strengthen into midNovember.

  2. Poorly distributed precipitation in the last two months and high daytime temperatures caused early season dryness in southern Botswana, South Africa, parts of Swaziland and Lesotho.

22 Nov 2018 description

The Greater Horn of Africa and Angola remain dry

  1. Moisture deficits develop across Ethiopia, the Jubba and Shabelle River basins of Somalia, and Kenya. Next week, below-average rainfall is expected to strengthen dryness.

  2. Poorly distributed precipitation in September and October, paired with high daytime temperatures caused abnormal early season dryness across Botswana, South Africa, Swaziland and Lesotho.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall caused irregular dryness across Madagascar.

20 Nov 2018 description

High risk countries and potential impacts on food security and agriculture

In view of the potential impact of the 2018/19 El Niño on food security and agriculture, high risk countries in Southern Africa, Horn of Africa, Asia and the Pacific and Latin America should be prioritized for further monitoring, analysis and early action.

13 Nov 2018 description

Abnormal dryness expands in Angola, Zambia, and Zimbabwe

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Delayed seasonal rainfall and erratic precipitation in the past two months have caused dryness across Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya.

  2. Poorly-distributed rainfall since September and high daytime temperatures have resulted in early-season drought across South Africa and Lesotho.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall has caused dryness in Madagascar.

08 Nov 2018 description

Dryness strengthens in the Greater Horn of Africa, and early season dryness develops in South Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Heavy rainfall triggered floods across southeastern Kenya. Additional rainfall predicted next week may stress already wet ground conditions in the region.

31 Oct 2018 description

Key Messages
- In West Africa, the 2017/18 marketing season is ending with favorable harvest prospects for 2018/19, as the rainy season concluded in most countries. Early harvests along with release of carryover stocks from the previous year are progressively revitalizing market supplies across the region. Month-to-month price variation is stable or declining at below last year’s levels. Prices remain above average. Insecurity-related market disruptions persist in the Greater Lake Chad basin, northern and central Mali, and the Liptako-Gourma.

03 Oct 2018 description

Overview

The Early Warning Early Action initiative has been developed with the understanding that disaster losses and emergency response costs can be drastically reduced by using early warning analysis to act before a crisis escalates into an emergency. Early actions strengthen the resilience of at-risk populations, mitigate the impact of disasters and help communities, governments and national and international humanitarian agencies to respond more effectively and efficiently.

José Graziano da Silva, FAO Director-General

30 Sep 2018 description

Key Messages
- In West Africa, the 2017/18 marketing year is in its last phase, the lean season, characterized by low supply and stock levels, while demand is at its highest level. Prices remained elevated at above-average levels. Nevertheless, early green harvests, release of stocks with good harvest prospects, and humanitarian efforts have stabilized, or slightly decreased prices compared to the previous month. Markets remain disrupted in the Greater Lake Chad basin, northern and central Mali, and the Liptako-Gourma region due to insecurity.

13 Sep 2018 description

PROJECTED FOOD ASSISTANCE NEEDS FOR MARCH 2019

31 Aug 2018 description

Key Messages
- In West Africa, MY 2017/18 is in its last phase, the lean season, characterized by low levels of supplies and stocks, and high demand. Nonetheless, relief and price intervention efforts have assisted in maintaining stable prices. However staple prices will remain above average until new harvests. Markets remain disrupted in the Greater Lake Chad basin and northern and central Mali due to insecurity. Livestock prices have increased but remain below average in general.

22 Aug 2018 description

Flooding continues in West Africa, while dryness strengthens in Ethiopia

16 Aug 2018 description

Flooding recorded in the Sahel, while dryness strengthens in Ethiopia

  1. The forecast for abovenormal rains during the outlook period is likely to cause flooding in Mali, Burkina Faso, and western Niger.

  2. Several weeks of above-average rainfall has damaged infrastructure and caused fatalities in Sudan. Continuing rainfall may trigger additional floods through mid-August.

16 Aug 2018 description

PROJECTED FOOD ASSISTANCE NEEDS FOR FEBRUARY 2019

31 Jul 2018 description

Key Messages
- In West Africa, the 2017/18 marketing year is nearing its end, the lean season is characterized by low supplies and stocks while demand is at high levels. Prices remained stable compared to the previous one to two months, especially in the Sahel. However, they are above average and will remain so throughout the lean season. Markets remain disrupted in the Greater Lake Chad basin and northern and central Mali due to insecurity. Important livestock losses were reported in Senegal’s pastoral zones in June.

16 Jul 2018 description

PROJECTED FOOD ASSISTANCE NEEDS FOR JANUARY 2019